The widest gap against the market is G2: fourth on Riot's board at 1,480 but about 0.4¢ after falling to 1-2, with both losses in best-of-ones. One other source quoted 4.8¢.
Back to the trend of the day: China's four top gaming teams all lost their first match at the world championship
Poly Rating · from the trend of the day
LoL Worlds 2026 standings: title odds vs power ranking
Riot's model puts Hanwha Life two points ahead of Gen.G, but the market gives Gen.G about a 41% chance to win Worlds and HLE 10.5%, and HLE is now one loss from elimination.
- No. 1: Gen.G
- 10 places
01Final list
The leading AIs each built their own list of ten independently. Here is one result that is easy to check: every place has a reason, a source, and the list of AIs that included it.
Order: from most to least AI agreement.
A bright badge means this AI put the entry on its list. A dim badge means it did not.
- 1
Gen.G
No. 1 in the market at about 41%, but No. 2 on Riot's board, two points behind HLE. They are 3-0 after a 2-1 best-of-three win over LYON.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, Wenxin.In their lists: Claude: 1 · Meta: 1 · Grok: 1 · MiMo: 1 · Kimi: 1 · DeepSeek: 1 · Z.ai: 1 · Qwen: 1
What each AI noted 8
- Claudeplace 1
Priced at 41% to win, about 2.5 times the next team, yet only second in the form proxy: the market trusts them more than the ratings do.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 1
41% Polymarket leader from GPR 2nd (1,519 pts) – first to 3-0 with Bo3 win over LYON
- Grokplace 1
41 cents to win Worlds, and only two Riot points behind the team the market has already marked down.
Source ↗ - MiMoplace 1
Riotcalls them No. 2 by two points; the market calls them No. 1 at double anyone else's price — and they are already through at 3-0.
Source ↗ - Kimiplace 1
Riot has them 2nd by two points, but the market made them the 38% champion before Sunday and they finished the job 3-0.
- DeepSeekplace 1
Riot's No. 2 and the market's No. 1: a 3–0 Swiss and a 34–38% title price make Gen.G the only team both systems agree on at the very top.
- Z.aiplace 1
The only team top-two on both boards — 40% on Kalshi, 1542 points on Riot's model — and 3-0 through a Swiss bracket that has already eliminated nobody quietly.
Source ↗ - Qwenplace 1
Ranked #2 in power but owns the #1 market price at 33.5%, reflecting their pristine 3-0 Swiss start and deep BO5 pedigree.
Source ↗
8 AIs put it here - 2
Hanwha Life Esports (HLE)
Riot's No. 1 at 1,544 but only 10.5¢ in the market, down from about 20% on Saturday. Best-of-one losses to Gen.G and IG leave them 1-2.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, Wenxin.In their lists: Claude: 2 · Meta: 2 · Grok: 5 · MiMo: 2 · Kimi: 4 · DeepSeek: 3 · Z.ai: 5 · Qwen: 2
What each AI noted 8
- Claudeplace 2
First in the form proxy as MSI champions, but the market puts them fourth or fifth at 11%, so the ratings favour them more than the market does.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 2
Riot's #1 at 1,540 pts but market slips to 18% after 1-2 Swiss with Bo1 upset to IG
Source ↗ - Grokplace 5
Riot's No. 1 at 1,544 points, then 10.5 cents and 1-2 after two single games.
- MiMoplace 2
The only team Riot ranks No. 1 (1,544 pts) that the market prices third at 12–17.5¢ — and they arrive there with a 1-2 Swiss record.
Source ↗ - Kimiplace 4
Riot’s No. 1 is now 1-2: two Swiss losses, one to Gen.G and one to IG, yet the market had not fully dumped them.
- DeepSeekplace 3
Riot's No. 1 at 1,540 points is only the market's No. 3–4 at about 17% after an 0–2 week against Gen.G and Invictus Gaming.
- Z.aiplace 5
Riot's model crowns them No.1 at 1544 points — the scoreboard says 1-2, all in Bo1s, and Kalshi's board has dipped to 12%.
- Qwenplace 2
The consensus #1 power-ranked team trades at just 17.5% to win, a market discount driven by Gen.G's heavier global betting volume.
8 AIs put it here - 3
T1
Second in the market at 16¢ but fifth on Riot's board (1,470). That is a three-place brand premium on a 1-1 record that includes a best-of-one loss to Dplus KIA.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, Wenxin.In their lists: Claude: see list · Meta: see list · Grok: 2 · MiMo: 5 · Kimi: see list · DeepSeek: 4 · Z.ai: see list · Qwen: 3
What each AI noted 8
- Claude
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - Meta
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - Grokplace 2
Still second in the title market at 16 cents after losing one game.
Source ↗ - MiMoplace 5
Ratedfifth by Riot but priced second at 16–19¢ — a three-place gap the market keeps paying for the three-time defending champion.
Source ↗ - Kimi
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - DeepSeekplace 4
No. 5 with Riot, No. 3–4 with traders at about 17–18%, and 1–1 after losing to DK — the brand premium is still real, but the form is not yet.
Source ↗ - Z.ai
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - Qwenplace 3
Despite sitting #5 in algorithmic power rankings, the defending champions command a massive 19% win probability due to unmatched BO5 market faith.
Source ↗
8 AIs put it here - 4
Dplus KIA
Third in the market at 13¢ but seventh on Riot's board (1,438). They were first to 3-0, though two of those three wins came in single games.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, Wenxin.In their lists: Claude: 4 · Meta: 3 · Grok: 3 · MiMo: 3 · Kimi: 2 · DeepSeek: 5 · Z.ai: 2 · Qwen: 6
What each AI noted 8
- Claudeplace 4
The only 3-0 team in the latest Liquipedia snapshot, and the market already prices them third (13%) against seventh in the form proxy.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 3
Tied 7th in GPR at 1,409 yet first to 3-0 with pentakill by Smash vs MKOI
- Grokplace 3
First team into the quarterfinals, 13 cents to win the title, seventh on Riot's board.
- MiMoplace 3
Seventh on Riot's sheet, fourth in the market — and the first team into the quarterfinals after a 2-0 Bo3 sweep of Movistar KOI.
Source ↗ - Kimiplace 2
The LCK’s fourth seed was 7th in Riot’s model but left Sunday as the first 3-0 qualifier.
- DeepSeekplace 5
Riot No. 7 and market No. 6 at about 5%, but 3–0 and the only team to beat T1 — the market is slowly catching up to the form.
- Z.aiplace 2
Riot's model ranks them seventh; the market says 13¢, third-best — and they swept Movistar KOI 2-0 in a Bo3 to qualify 3-0 without dropping a series.
- Qwenplace 6
A 3-0 Swiss sweep vaults them past their #8 power ranking, yet the market keeps their title odds modest at ~3% due to historical playoff volatility.
Source ↗
8 AIs put it here - 5
Bilibili Gaming (BLG)
One of the few places the two boards agree: third on Riot's board (1,504) and tied fourth in the market at 10.5¢. They are 1-1 after a best-of-one loss to Movistar KOI.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, Wenxin.In their lists: Claude: 5 · Meta: 5 · Grok: 4 · MiMo: 4 · Kimi: 5 · DeepSeek: 2 · Z.ai: 4 · Qwen: 4
What each AI noted 8
- Claudeplace 5
Third in the form proxy and credited with the best win-loss record in Riot's model, yet priced at only 11% after a first-round loss to Movistar KOI.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 5
GPR 3rd at 1,513 pts matches +400 market (20%) but Bo1 loss to MKOI broke LPL 0-4
- Grokplace 4
Third on the power ranking, tied for fourth in the market at 10.5 cents.
Source ↗ - MiMoplace 4
Riot's No. 3 and the market's No. 3 agree — but the 1-1 record includes a Bo1 loss to a team Riot ranks 16th.
Source ↗ - Kimiplace 5
China’s highest-rated club is only 1-1, but the market still kept BLG inside the published top five.
Source ↗ - DeepSeekplace 2
Riot No. 3, market No. 2 at about 18%, but the 1–1 record includes a loss to Movistar KOI — the gap is confidence in the roster, not the form.
Source ↗ - Z.aiplace 4
A 49-12 season (.803) and GPR #3, yet Polymarket trimmed them to 17% after Movistar KOI's opening-night ambush.
- Qwenplace 4
Holds the #3 power spot and 16.5% market share, though the market hesitates after their Day 1 BO1 upset loss to Movistar KOI.
8 AIs put it here - 6
Anyone's Legend (AL)
The LPL champions are 10th on Riot's board (1,384) and 2.1¢ in the market. They are 0-2, with a best-of-three elimination match against Team Liquid next.
Included it: Claude, Grok, Nemotron, MiMo, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Kimi.In their lists: Claude: 8 · Grok: 9 · Nemotron: 9 · MiMo: see list · DeepSeek: 10 · Wenxin: 3 · Z.ai: 7 · Qwen: 8
What each AI noted 8
- Claudeplace 8
The LPL champions are fourth in the form proxy but 2% in the market, and they were the 0-2 team that a Karmine Corp upset sent into trouble.
Source ↗ - Grokplace 9
The LPL champions are 2.1 cents, and 0-2 with an elimination series still to play.
Source ↗ - Nemotronplace 9
Power rank #6 but 4% odds — LPL champs' 0-1 start creates largest negative gap
Source ↗ - MiMo
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - DeepSeekplace 10
Riot No. 7 and market No. 5 at about 5%, but 0–2 and one loss from elimination — the market is pricing the roster, not the record.
Source ↗ - Wenxinplace 3
Ranked top-10 by Riot but priced like a dark horse — the LPL Day 1 collapse inflated the odds gap to 6+ ranks
- Z.aiplace 7
Priced 5-7% as Chinese champions a week ago — two Bo1 losses later, Sunday night's elimination Bo3 vs Team Liquid is their season.
- Qwenplace 8
Priced at 5% to win despite a #10 power ranking and a Day 1 loss to Karmine Corp, showing residual market respect for LPL BO5 resilience.
Source ↗
8 AIs put it here - 7
Karmine Corp (KC)
Eighth on Riot's board (1,415) but priced near 1% on Polymarket and at 126.00 with bookmakers. They are 1-1 after beating AL and losing to LYON.
Included it: Claude, Meta, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Grok, Nemotron.In their lists: Claude: 10 · Meta: 9 · MiMo: 9 · Kimi: see list · DeepSeek: 8 · Wenxin: 5 · Z.ai: see list · Qwen: 10
What each AI noted 8
- Claudeplace 10
Twelfth in the form proxy and about 1% in the market, but they beat Anyone's Legend, the Chinese champions, in Round 1.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 9
GPR 10th at 1,375 pts from Play-In 3-0 Bo5s – market longshot but 1-1 Swiss after beating AL
Source ↗ - MiMoplace 9
Riot's 8th at 1,415 points with a 4-1 tournament record — while Europe's whole region holds 3% of the winner market.
Source ↗ - Kimi
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - DeepSeekplace 8
Riot No. 7, market No. 10 at about 1%, 1–1 after losing to LYON — the Play-In winner is still priced as a long shot.
Source ↗ - Wenxinplace 5
Ranked below the LPL giants but priced above them — beating Anyone's Legend flipped the odds-vs-power gap negative for two teams
- Z.ai
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list - Qwenplace 10
Fueled by a massive fanbase and a Day 1 win over Anyone's Legend, but their ~1% odds reflect skepticism that their LEC form translates to deep BO5 runs.
Source ↗
8 AIs put it here - 8
LYON
Sixth on Riot's board (1,442), the top Western team there, yet priced at 2.1¢. They are 2-1 and took a map off Gen.G in a best-of-three.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, MiMo, Wenxin.In their lists: Claude: 6 · Meta: 8 · Grok: 7 · Kimi: 6 · DeepSeek: 9 · Z.ai: 6 · Qwen: 9
What each AI noted 7
- Claudeplace 6
Ninth in the form proxy but 2% in the market, and a 2-0 start that included beating Karmine Corp suggests the market is catching up.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 8
GPR 6th at 1,445 pts vs market +3300 (2.9%) but 2-0 with Bo1 wins over TSW and KC
Source ↗ - Grokplace 7
Took a game off Gen.G in a real series and stayed at 2.1 cents.
Source ↗ - Kimiplace 6
The LCS runner-up went from ranking-page curiosity to 2-1 and took Gen.G to three games before falling.
- DeepSeekplace 9
Riot No. 6, market outside the top 10 at about 1%, 2–1 — the largest raw divergence between rating and price in the field.
Source ↗ - Z.aiplace 6
Sixth in the world per Riot — the one ranking that made fans ask Riot to 'just retire this power ranking system.'
- Qwenplace 9
Mirrors KOI at 2-0 in the Swiss standings, but their <1% title odds prove the market heavily discounts LCS/LEC BO1 darlings for the knockout stage.
Source ↗
7 AIs put it here - 9
Top Esports (TES)
11th on Riot's board (1,366) and 1.4¢ in the market, yet 2-1. After the LPL's 0-4 first day they recovered, including a best-of-one win over G2.
Included it: Grok, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Z.ai, Qwen. Did not include: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Nemotron, Wenxin.In their lists: Grok: 8 · MiMo: 8 · Kimi: 8 · DeepSeek: 7 · Z.ai: 9 · Qwen: 5
What each AI noted 6
- Grokplace 8
2-1 in single games, including a win over G2, priced at 1.4 cents.
Source ↗ - MiMoplace 8
From a historic 0-4 LPL opening day to 2-1: the only Swiss team with a win over G2, and Riot has them 11th.
- Kimiplace 8
TES repaired an 0-1 start with two straight wins, including knocking G2 to the brink.
- DeepSeekplace 7
Riot No. 13, market No. 8 at about 1%, yet 2–1 and just beat G2 — the biggest positive gap in the top 10.
- Z.aiplace 9
Riot has them 11th off a losing regular season (.528) — at Worlds they're 2-1 with wins over Anyone's Legend and G2.
Source ↗ - Qwenplace 5
Algorithmically the 4th strongest team, but priced at just ~6% to win after opening the Swiss stage with a Day 1 LPL collapse loss.
Source ↗
6 AIs put it here - 10
Invictus Gaming (IG)
Sixth in the market at 5.3¢ but 14th on Riot's board (1,350), the widest gap in the market's favour. It rests on a best-of-one upset of HLE.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Grok, MiMo, Kimi, Z.ai. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nemotron, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Qwen.In their lists: Claude: 7 · Meta: 10 · Grok: 6 · MiMo: 10 · Kimi: 9 · Z.ai: see list
What each AI noted 6
- Claudeplace 7
Priced sixth at 5% while ranked tenth on form, a +4 gap built on a 2-1 start.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 10
Unranked in Sept top-10 GPR but 2-1 Swiss after upset over HLE – LPL recovery story
- Grokplace 6
5.3 cents after a one-game win over the No. 1 team; Riot still has them 14th.
- MiMoplace 10
Outside Riot's top 10 but inside the biggest Swiss crowd: their Gen.G match was Day 1's 1.6M peak.
- Kimiplace 9
IG’s Sunday upset of Hanwha turned a ratings afterthought into the LPL’s cleanest 2-1 recovery.
- Z.ai
Named differently in its own list: open the full list.
see list
6 AIs put it here
02Worth knowing
What the AIs noticed while building the list.
All four LPL teams lost their opening Swiss game. Three won the next day, and IG then beat Riot's No. 1, Hanwha Life.
Both 3-0 teams qualified by winning a best-of-three, but Dplus KIA's win over T1 was a single game. Three wins in Swiss are not all the same evidence.
Riot's board was updated early on Oct 25, before Sunday's Round 3, so some of the gap is timing: rankings move weekly, prices move after every match.
Gen.G's price differed by venue on the same night: 41¢ on the Polymarket board, 38.5% in its summary, 40% on Kalshi, and about 31% in pre-event bookmaker odds.
03Questions people ask
When is LoL Worlds 2026?
Worlds 2026 runs Oct 15–Nov 14. The Swiss Stage is Oct 23–31 in Allen, Texas, and the final is Nov 14 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn.
Source ↗What are the LoL Worlds 2026 standings?
After Oct 25, Gen.G and Dplus KIA are through at 3-0. IG, TES, LYON and MKOI are 2-1, Hanwha Life and G2 are 1-2, and Anyone's Legend is 0-2.
Source ↗Who is favored to win Worlds 2026?
Gen.G, at about 41% on OddsDesk and 40% on Kalshi, ahead of T1 at 16–17% and Dplus KIA at 13%.
Source ↗Why do the title odds differ between sites?
Polymarket, Kalshi and bookmakers price the same question separately and update at different moments. On Sunday Gen.G showed 41¢, 38.5% and 40% on the same night.
Source ↗04How we counted
In plain words, no formulas.
1The question
Top 10 Worlds teams: form versus title odds
2Why this topic
It shows where a performance rating and a live title market agree or diverge, something neither source shows alone.
3Where it applies
Global League of Legends esports, Worlds 2026
4What we looked at
- Compare each team’s Riot Global Power Ranking with its implied chance of winning Worlds in the live market, including each team’s rank in both and the gap.
- Use the October 25 Swiss record as context for interpreting the gap, not as a separate ranking.
- Riot Games LoL Esports Global Power Rankings — Tier 1 team-strength points from performance, match context, recency, in-game execution, opponent strength and regional strength. The Oct 25 early-mornin
- OddsDesk Worlds 2026: Winner — Live yes-price for each team to win Worlds, read as implied probability. Checked Sunday night, Oct 25.
- Polymarket Worlds 2026: Winner — The same winner contract on Polymarket. The board and the page summary did not show the same number at the same time.
- Kalshi Worlds 2026 Champion — A separate US prediction market for the champion, priced in cents as implied probability.
- Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage results — Swiss records used as context only. Rounds 1–2 were best-of-one; the 2-0 and 0-2 matches are best-of-three.
5Who ranked
The leading AIs, each building its own list of ten independently and naming a source for every place: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Nemotron, MiMo, Kimi, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Z.ai, Qwen.
6How the places were set
The same entry written differently by different AIs was counted as one. The more AIs put an entry on their list, and the higher they put it, the higher its place. "AI agreement" shows how many of the AIs had it on their own list. Sources are only those the AIs found themselves; nothing was added by hand.
05Each AI's own list
🇺🇸 Claude10 places · 4 notes
The same question, answered by Claude alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G (Worlds 2026)
Priced at 41% to win, about 2.5 times the next team, yet only second in the form proxy: the market trusts them more than the ratings do.
Source ↗ - 2Hanwha Life Esports (HLE, Worlds 2026)
First in the form proxy as MSI champions, but the market puts them fourth or fifth at 11%, so the ratings favour them more than the market does.
Source ↗ - 3T1 (Worlds 2026)
Second in the market at 16% while sitting sixth in the form proxy, the widest reputation premium among the contenders (+4).
Source ↗ - 4Dplus KIA (DK, Worlds 2026)
The only 3-0 team in the latest Liquipedia snapshot, and the market already prices them third (13%) against seventh in the form proxy.
Source ↗ - 5Bilibili Gaming (BLG, Worlds 2026)
Third in the form proxy and credited with the best win-loss record in Riot's model, yet priced at only 11% after a first-round loss to Movistar KOI.
Source ↗ - 6LYON (Worlds 2026)
Ninth in the form proxy but 2% in the market, and a 2-0 start that included beating Karmine Corp suggests the market is catching up.
Source ↗ - 7Invictus Gaming (IG, Worlds 2026)
Priced sixth at 5% while ranked tenth on form, a +4 gap built on a 2-1 start.
Source ↗ - 8Anyone's Legend (AL, Worlds 2026)
The LPL champions are fourth in the form proxy but 2% in the market, and they were the 0-2 team that a Karmine Corp upset sent into trouble.
Source ↗ - 9G2 Esports (Worlds 2026)
Fifth in the form proxy as the top Western team, yet under 1% in the market: the biggest ratings-over-market gap on the list (-7).
Source ↗ - 10Karmine Corp (KC, Worlds 2026)
Twelfth in the form proxy and about 1% in the market, but they beat Anyone's Legend, the Chinese champions, in Round 1.
Source ↗
What Claude noticed
Hanwha Life is first in the form proxy but about fourth in the market, while T1 and Dplus KIA are each ranked four places better by the market than by the ratings.
The sources do not agree on Gen.G's price. Polymarket shows 41% in its outcome list and 38.5% in its summary, Kalshi shows 39%, the sportsbook price implies about 31%, and the Outdrafted model gives 49%.
Swiss Rounds 1 and 2 were best-of-one, which is a small sample: all four LPL teams lost Round 1, and Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI beat the LPL's top two teams. Under the Swiss format a 3-0 record is worth less as evidence of strength than a best-of-five result would be.
The knockouts are best-of-five, from the quarterfinals in Allen on Nov 3-8 to the final on Nov 14 in Brooklyn. A market built on best-of-one results may be weighting records that will matter less at that stage.
🇺🇸 Meta10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by Meta alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G 2026
41% Polymarket leader from GPR 2nd (1,519 pts) – first to 3-0 with Bo3 win over LYON
- 2Hanwha Life Esports 2026
Riot's #1 at 1,540 pts but market slips to 18% after 1-2 Swiss with Bo1 upset to IG
Source ↗ - 3Dplus KIA 2026
Tied 7th in GPR at 1,409 yet first to 3-0 with pentakill by Smash vs MKOI
- 4T1 2026
19% title chance as GPR 5th (1,471 pts) – biggest legacy premium in market
- 5Bilibili Gaming 2026
GPR 3rd at 1,513 pts matches +400 market (20%) but Bo1 loss to MKOI broke LPL 0-4
- 6G2 Esports 2026
GPR 4th at 1,475 pts overtaking T1 but market +1400 (6.7%) and Swiss 1-2 after TES Bo1
- 7Movistar KOI 2026
GPR tied 18th at 1,317 pts yet 2-0 start beating BLG – largest Swiss vs GPR gap
- 8LYON 2026
GPR 6th at 1,445 pts vs market +3300 (2.9%) but 2-0 with Bo1 wins over TSW and KC
Source ↗ - 9Karmine Corp 2026
GPR 10th at 1,375 pts from Play-In 3-0 Bo5s – market longshot but 1-1 Swiss after beating AL
Source ↗ - 10Invictus Gaming 2026
Unranked in Sept top-10 GPR but 2-1 Swiss after upset over HLE – LPL recovery story
What Meta noticed
Gen.G 41% Polymarket vs 33.3% at Lucky Rebel – 7.7 point spread shows how fast Bo3 qualification moves live markets
DK and Gen.G only 3-0 teams on Oct 25, both from Bo3 wins – Bo1 record is 4-0 LCK vs 0-4 LPL, Bo3 tells different story
GPR gap 21 points between #1 HLE (1,540) and #2 Gen.G (1,519) erased by Swiss – HLE drops to 1-2 after IG upset
🇺🇸 Grok10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by Grok alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G
41 cents to win Worlds, and only two Riot points behind the team the market has already marked down.
Source ↗ - 2T1
Still second in the title market at 16 cents after losing one game.
Source ↗ - 3Dplus KIA
First team into the quarterfinals, 13 cents to win the title, seventh on Riot's board.
- 4Bilibili Gaming
Third on the power ranking, tied for fourth in the market at 10.5 cents.
Source ↗ - 5Hanwha Life Esports
Riot's No. 1 at 1,544 points, then 10.5 cents and 1-2 after two single games.
- 6Invictus Gaming
5.3 cents after a one-game win over the No. 1 team; Riot still has them 14th.
- 7LYON
Took a game off Gen.G in a real series and stayed at 2.1 cents.
Source ↗ - 8Top Esports
2-1 in single games, including a win over G2, priced at 1.4 cents.
Source ↗ - 9Anyone's Legend
The LPL champions are 2.1 cents, and 0-2 with an elimination series still to play.
Source ↗ - 10Movistar KOI
Beat Bilibili Gaming in one game, then lost a best-of-three 0-2.
Source ↗
What Grok noticed
Hanwha Life leads Riot's board by two points, 1,544 to Gen.G's 1,542, while the live winner market has Gen.G at about 41 cents and Hanwha Life at 10.5.
All four LPL teams lost their opening Swiss game. Three won the next day, and Invictus Gaming then beat Hanwha Life in a best-of-one.
G2 is 4th on Riot's list at 1,480 points and about 0.4 cents to win Worlds after falling to 1-2. Both of those losses were best-of-one.
🇺🇸 Nemotron10 places · 2 notes
The same question, answered by Nemotron alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G
Power rank #1 with 22% implied odds — market respects the dynasty
- 2T1
Power rank #2 but 18% odds — Faker factor keeps market tight
Source ↗ - 3Hanwha Life Esports
Power rank #3 at 12% odds — market skeptical of LCK depth beyond top 2
Source ↗ - 4Bilibili Gaming
Power rank #4 but only 9% odds — 0-1 Swiss start punished despite BLG pedigree
Source ↗ - 5JD Gaming
Power rank #5 at 8% odds — market still remembers 2023 run
Source ↗ - 6Dplus KIA
Power rank #7 but 7% odds — market rewards Bo1 giant-killing of JDG
- 7Movistar KOI
Power rank #11 but 6% odds — MKO's BLG upset forces market rethink
Source ↗ - 8Karmine Corp
Power rank #9 at 5% odds — KC's AL win validates LEC hype
Source ↗ - 9Anyone's Legend
Power rank #6 but 4% odds — LPL champs' 0-1 start creates largest negative gap
Source ↗ - 10FlyQuest
Power rank #8 at 3% odds — NA hope priced as longshot despite solid ranking
Source ↗
What Nemotron noticed
All four LPL teams lost Day 1 Swiss Bo1s — only BLG and AL were top-6 power ranked, creating the tournament's biggest power-vs-odds divergences
Movistar KOI jumped from ~1% to 6% implied odds after one Bo1 — single-elimination Swiss format creates extreme market volatility
🇨🇳 MiMo10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by MiMo alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G
Riotcalls them No. 2 by two points; the market calls them No. 1 at double anyone else's price — and they are already through at 3-0.
Source ↗ - 2HanwhaLife Esports
The only team Riot ranks No. 1 (1,544 pts) that the market prices third at 12–17.5¢ — and they arrive there with a 1-2 Swiss record.
Source ↗ - 3DplusKIA
Seventh on Riot's sheet, fourth in the market — and the first team into the quarterfinals after a 2-0 Bo3 sweep of Movistar KOI.
Source ↗ - 4BilibiliGaming
Riot's No. 3 and the market's No. 3 agree — but the 1-1 record includes a Bo1 loss to a team Riot ranks 16th.
Source ↗ - 5T1
Ratedfifth by Riot but priced second at 16–19¢ — a three-place gap the market keeps paying for the three-time defending champion.
Source ↗ - 6G2Esports
Riot's No. 4 at 1,480 points, the market's ~4.8¢ — the widest strength-versus-price gap of any top-ranked team.
- 7MovistarKOI
Riot's 16th at 1,346 points, yet 2-1 at Worlds with a Bo1 win over BLG — and the most-watched team of LEC Summer 2026.
Source ↗ - 8TOPEsports
From a historic 0-4 LPL opening day to 2-1: the only Swiss team with a win over G2, and Riot has them 11th.
- 9KarmineCorp
Riot's 8th at 1,415 points with a 4-1 tournament record — while Europe's whole region holds 3% of the winner market.
Source ↗ - 10InvictusGaming
Outside Riot's top 10 but inside the biggest Swiss crowd: their Gen.G match was Day 1's 1.6M peak.
What MiMo noticed
Riot'sNo. 1 (Hanwha Life, 1,544 pts) and the market's No. 1 (Gen.G, 33.5–40¢) are different teams — and Gen.G trails by just 2 GPR points while costing roughly double Hanwha Life's price.
Themarket has written off the LPL as a region: OddsDesk's winner-region market gives LCK 75% versus LPL 22%, even after three Chinese teams won on Day 2 and IG beat Riot's No. 1.
G2is the ranking's biggest negative gap: Riot's 4th-best team at 1,480 pts trades near 4.8¢, because its Swiss wins are Bo1s over LOS while its Bo3 loss came to a 2-1 TES.
🇨🇳 Kimi10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by Kimi alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G 2026
Riot has them 2nd by two points, but the market made them the 38% champion before Sunday and they finished the job 3-0.
- 2Dplus KIA 2026
The LCK’s fourth seed was 7th in Riot’s model but left Sunday as the first 3-0 qualifier.
- 3T1 2026
The market still prices T1 like a co-favorite even after the 1-1 start because October Bo1s have not erased the badge.
- 4Hanwha Life Esports 2026
Riot’s No. 1 is now 1-2: two Swiss losses, one to Gen.G and one to IG, yet the market had not fully dumped them.
- 5Bilibili Gaming 2026
China’s highest-rated club is only 1-1, but the market still kept BLG inside the published top five.
Source ↗ - 6LYON 2026
The LCS runner-up went from ranking-page curiosity to 2-1 and took Gen.G to three games before falling.
- 7Movistar KOI 2026
A Round 1 Elo-style mismatch became a ranking scandal: MKOI beat BLG and reached the 2-0 Bo3 door.
Source ↗ - 8TOP Esports 2026
TES repaired an 0-1 start with two straight wins, including knocking G2 to the brink.
- 9Invictus Gaming 2026
IG’s Sunday upset of Hanwha turned a ratings afterthought into the LPL’s cleanest 2-1 recovery.
- 10G2 Esports 2026
Riot’s No. 4 is 1-2: the model still believes, the Swiss table does not.
What Kimi noticed
The cleanest disagreement is Hanwha: Riot’s #1 at 1544 points sits 1-2, while Gen.G’s #2 rating has already produced a 3-0 qualification run.
Format matters: Rounds 1-2 were Bo1, while the 2-0 and 0-2 Round 3 matches are Bo3, so Gen.G and Dplus KIA’s Sunday qualification is stronger evidence than the early upsets.
Europe’s Round 1 story was overstated in Elo terms: MKOI was #41 vs BLG #4 in the cited Elo table before winning, but Sunday’s 0-2 loss to Dplus KIA pulled the signal back toward LCK strength.
🇨🇳 DeepSeek10 places · 2 notes
The same question, answered by DeepSeek alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G
Riot's No. 2 and the market's No. 1: a 3–0 Swiss and a 34–38% title price make Gen.G the only team both systems agree on at the very top.
- 2Bilibili Gaming (BLG)
Riot No. 3, market No. 2 at about 18%, but the 1–1 record includes a loss to Movistar KOI — the gap is confidence in the roster, not the form.
Source ↗ - 3Hanwha Life Esports (HLE)
Riot's No. 1 at 1,540 points is only the market's No. 3–4 at about 17% after an 0–2 week against Gen.G and Invictus Gaming.
- 4T1
No. 5 with Riot, No. 3–4 with traders at about 17–18%, and 1–1 after losing to DK — the brand premium is still real, but the form is not yet.
Source ↗ - 5Dplus KIA (DK)
Riot No. 7 and market No. 6 at about 5%, but 3–0 and the only team to beat T1 — the market is slowly catching up to the form.
- 6G2 Esports
Riot No. 4, market No. 7 at about 4% after falling to 1–2 — the largest negative gap among the West's top seeds.
- 7Top Esports (TES)
Riot No. 13, market No. 8 at about 1%, yet 2–1 and just beat G2 — the biggest positive gap in the top 10.
- 8Karmine Corp (KC)
Riot No. 7, market No. 10 at about 1%, 1–1 after losing to LYON — the Play-In winner is still priced as a long shot.
Source ↗ - 9LYON
Riot No. 6, market outside the top 10 at about 1%, 2–1 — the largest raw divergence between rating and price in the field.
Source ↗ - 10Anyone's Legend (AL)
Riot No. 7 and market No. 5 at about 5%, but 0–2 and one loss from elimination — the market is pricing the roster, not the record.
Source ↗
What DeepSeek noticed
The market and Riot disagree most on LYON: Riot has them No. 6, but traders price them at roughly 1% — a five-place gap for a team that is 2–1.
The LPL's 0–4 opening day did not crash the odds: BLG stayed near 18–19% and AL near 5%, because markets weight roster strength over a single Bo1 sample.
🇨🇳 Wenxin10 places · 1 notes
The same question, answered by Wenxin alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G (Korea)
Ranked 1st by Riot, priced near the top — the gap is paper-thin and the Swiss record backs both up
- 2T1 (Korea)
Market darling versus Riot's #2 — odds are slightly ahead of the power ranking, a rare inversion
- 3Anyone's Legend (China, LPL)
Ranked top-10 by Riot but priced like a dark horse — the LPL Day 1 collapse inflated the odds gap to 6+ ranks
- 4Bilibili Gaming (China, LPL)
Riot puts them in the top 10 but the market was shocked by their KOI loss — odds gap of 8 ranks, the widest among contenders
- 5Karmine Corp (Europe)
Ranked below the LPL giants but priced above them — beating Anyone's Legend flipped the odds-vs-power gap negative for two teams
- 6Movistar KOI (Europe)
Same Karmine story — 2-0 Swiss start but Riot still rates them a tier below Korean powerhouses
- 7CTBC Flying Oyster (Taiwan/PCS)
Riot #7 and market ~6% — one of the tightest gaps; their 2-0 Swiss validates both numbers
- 8Edward Gaming (China, LPL)
LPL champs who bounced back — Riot top 10, market still cautious at ~4% after Day 1 sweep of LPL
- 9Fnatic (Europe)
Riot top 10 but market lags at ~2–3% — the European home-region story hasn't moved odds as much as wins have
- 10Dplus KIA (Korea)
Riot #5 but market slipped to ~8–10% — the gap here is a market under-reaction to Korean depth
What Wenxin noticed
Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI are the only European teams whose odds have moved above their Riot tier after beating LPL sides — a market correction that outpaces Riot's slower weekly updates
🇨🇳 Z.ai10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by Z.ai alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G (LCK, Korea) — Worlds 2026
The only team top-two on both boards — 40% on Kalshi, 1542 points on Riot's model — and 3-0 through a Swiss bracket that has already eliminated nobody quietly.
Source ↗ - 2Dplus KIA (LCK, Korea) — Worlds 2026
Riot's model ranks them seventh; the market says 13¢, third-best — and they swept Movistar KOI 2-0 in a Bo3 to qualify 3-0 without dropping a series.
- 3T1 — Worlds 2026
Second-shortest price in the field (17¢) on a 1-1 record — no team gets more benefit of the doubt from traders.
- 4Bilibili Gaming (LPL, China) — Worlds 2026
A 49-12 season (.803) and GPR #3, yet Polymarket trimmed them to 17% after Movistar KOI's opening-night ambush.
- 5Hanwha Life Esports (LCK, Korea) — Worlds 2026
Riot's model crowns them No.1 at 1544 points — the scoreboard says 1-2, all in Bo1s, and Kalshi's board has dipped to 12%.
- 6LYON (LCS, North America) — Worlds 2026
Sixth in the world per Riot — the one ranking that made fans ask Riot to 'just retire this power ranking system.'
- 7Anyone's Legend (LPL, China) — Worlds 2026
Priced 5-7% as Chinese champions a week ago — two Bo1 losses later, Sunday night's elimination Bo3 vs Team Liquid is their season.
- 8Movistar KOI (LEC, Europe) — Worlds 2026
15th on Riot's board — then they beat GPR #3 BLG and CFO back-to-back before Dplus KIA's 2-0 sweep reset the story.
Source ↗ - 9Top Esports (LPL, China) — Worlds 2026
Riot has them 11th off a losing regular season (.528) — at Worlds they're 2-1 with wins over Anyone's Legend and G2.
Source ↗ - 10G2 Esports (LEC, Europe) — Worlds 2026
Riot still ranks them 4th (1480 pts); two Bo1 losses to DK and TES have the market disagreeing in silence.
Source ↗
What Z.ai noticed
The first Bo3s of the tournament (Oct 25) both went the LCK's way — Dplus KIA swept MKOI 2-0 and Gen.G outlasted LYON 2-1 — meaning the two 3-0 qualifiers earned their tickets with series wins, not Bo1 luck.
Invictus Gaming is the model's blind spot of the week: 19-26 in the regular season (.422), GPR #14 — and 2-1 at Worlds after upsetting Hanwha Life on Sunday.
The market re-rated Gen.G faster than any other contender: Kalshi moved from 32% (Oct 15) to 40¢ live after their 3-0, while model-leader Hanwha Life drifted from 17% toward 12%.
🇨🇳 Qwen10 places · 2 notes
The same question, answered by Qwen alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Gen.G
Ranked #2 in power but owns the #1 market price at 33.5%, reflecting their pristine 3-0 Swiss start and deep BO5 pedigree.
Source ↗ - 2Hanwha Life Esports
The consensus #1 power-ranked team trades at just 17.5% to win, a market discount driven by Gen.G's heavier global betting volume.
- 3T1
Despite sitting #5 in algorithmic power rankings, the defending champions command a massive 19% win probability due to unmatched BO5 market faith.
Source ↗ - 4Bilibili Gaming
Holds the #3 power spot and 16.5% market share, though the market hesitates after their Day 1 BO1 upset loss to Movistar KOI.
- 5Top Esports
Algorithmically the 4th strongest team, but priced at just ~6% to win after opening the Swiss stage with a Day 1 LPL collapse loss.
Source ↗ - 6Dplus Kia
A 3-0 Swiss sweep vaults them past their #8 power ranking, yet the market keeps their title odds modest at ~3% due to historical playoff volatility.
Source ↗ - 7Movistar KOI
The biggest market overperformer; ranked outside the top 10 in power but sitting at 2-0 after shocking Bilibili Gaming, pushing odds up slightly.
Source ↗ - 8Anyone's Legend
Priced at 5% to win despite a #10 power ranking and a Day 1 loss to Karmine Corp, showing residual market respect for LPL BO5 resilience.
Source ↗ - 9LYON
Mirrors KOI at 2-0 in the Swiss standings, but their <1% title odds prove the market heavily discounts LCS/LEC BO1 darlings for the knockout stage.
Source ↗ - 10Karmine Corp
Fueled by a massive fanbase and a Day 1 win over Anyone's Legend, but their ~1% odds reflect skepticism that their LEC form translates to deep BO5 runs.
Source ↗
What Qwen noticed
T1 commands a 19% win probability despite ranking #5 in Riot's power rankings, showing that prediction markets heavily price in 'Faker's BO5 aura' and historical playoff resilience over regular season algorithms.
The gap between Gen.G's #2 power ranking and their 33.5% implied market probability shows that bettors prioritize current momentum and clean 3-0 Swiss records over longer-term algorithmic strength.