Eight clubs have a perfect 6 points: Panathinaikos, Lugano, Brann, Trabzonspor, Twente, Monaco, Sint-Truiden and Hajduk Split. Only Monaco is rated inside Club Elo's top 50 in Europe.
Back to the trend of the day: Monaco beat Freiburg 3-0 and have won both Conference League games
Poly Rating · from the trend of the day
Conference League standings 2026: who beats their rating
Eight clubs have a perfect start after two games, but Monaco are the only one rated inside Europe's top 50 by Club Elo. Hajduk Split, ranked 198th by UEFA, beat Ajax on the way to six points.
- No. 1: FC Lugano
- 10 places
01Final list
The leading AIs each built their own list of ten independently. Here is one result that is easy to check: every place has a reason, a source, and the list of AIs that included it.
Order: from most to least AI agreement.
A bright badge means this AI put the entry on its list. A dim badge means it did not.
- 1
FC Lugano
Competition-high 8 goals, including 5-2 at Getafe (Elo 1,698), from a 1,650–1,664 Elo side with a €45m squad. MD1 xG of 2.3 for 3 goals points to hot finishing.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, StepFun, DeepSeek.In their lists: Claude: 5 · ChatGPT: 2 · Meta: 3 · Grok: 3 · Gemini: 1 · StepFun: 1 · DeepSeek: 1
What each AI noted 7
- Claudeplace 5
Eight goals in two games, including a 5-2 win at Getafe, from a side with an Elo of 1664.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 2
Five goals away to Getafe, after already beating Crvena Zvezda, made this one of the round's most striking attacking performances.
- Metaplace 3
8 goals in 2 games leads competition, 5-2 at Getafe after trailing — most over xG
- Grokplace 3
8 goals in two games, including 5-2 demolition of Getafe
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 1
Scored 8 goals from an expected goals figure of barely 3.1 xG, including 5 past La Liga's Getafe in Madrid to sit atop the table.
Source ↗ - StepFunplace 1
Conceded after 108 seconds at Getafe and won 5-2 — with a €45.23m squad.
- DeepSeekplace 1
Eight goals and six points from a club Elo ranks 181st — the loudest overrun in the league phase.
Source ↗
7 AIs put it here - 2
Hajduk Split
6 points on a Club Elo of about 1,595–1,599, roughly 90–100 below Ajax, whom they beat 2-1. UEFA ranks them only 198th.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, StepFun, DeepSeek.In their lists: Claude: 3 · ChatGPT: 7 · Meta: 2 · Grok: 8 · Gemini: 3 · StepFun: 4 · DeepSeek: 2
What each AI noted 7
- Claudeplace 3
Beat Ajax 2-1 on matchday 1 with an Elo of 1599, nearly 100 points below them.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 7
After upsetting Ajax in the opener, Hajduk won 1–0 away at Thun: two wins without needing a goal avalanche.
- Metaplace 2
Beat Ajax 2-1 on MD1 as Elo outsider, now 6 pts with only 3 goals scored — efficiency over xG
- Grokplace 8
Two narrow wins and +2 GD from Croatian side
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 3
Shocked Dutch heavyweights Ajax 2-1 before edging Thun 1-0, surviving a combined 4.1 xG conceded while allowing only 1 goal.
Source ↗ - StepFunplace 4
A 1,595-rated club beat a side 91 Elo points higher — and 59th on UEFA's coefficient.
- DeepSeekplace 2
Six points with three goals and one conceded; the 2-1 win over Ajax was a 47% Elo shot.
Source ↗
7 AIs put it here - 3
Panathinaikos
Top of the table (7-2 on goals) on an Elo of only about 1,654–1,662, roughly 190th–204th in Europe. xG suggests their chances were real, not lucky finishing.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, StepFun, DeepSeek.In their lists: Claude: 8 · ChatGPT: 1 · Meta: 5 · Grok: 2 · Gemini: 4 · StepFun: 2 · DeepSeek: 5
What each AI noted 7
- Claudeplace 8
Scored 5 at Kairat Almaty on matchday 2 (7 goals in the phase) from an Elo of 1662.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 1
A 5–1 away win turned two opening victories into a six-point statement, with five goals scored in Kazakhstan alone.
- Metaplace 5
Top of table on GD +5 after 5-1 at Kairat — 7 goals from ∼3.5 xG
- Grokplace 2
Top of the table on goal difference after 7-2 aggregate including 5-1 away rout
- Geminiplace 4
Racked up 7 goals from only 3.25 xG across two matches, capped by a 5-1 away demolition of Kairat Almaty.
- StepFunplace 2
Top of a 36-team table on an Elo of 1,654 — and 5-1 in Almaty.
- DeepSeekplace 5
Seven goals but 7.5 xG — the perfect start is volume, not overfinishing.
Source ↗
7 AIs put it here - 4
Trabzonspor
6 points from 6-2 on goals, close to what their Elo predicted. The bigger gap is with UEFA: about 150th on Elo, but only 169th on the coefficient.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, StepFun, DeepSeek.In their lists: Claude: 4 · ChatGPT: 5 · Meta: 6 · Grok: 5 · Gemini: 6 · StepFun: 3 · DeepSeek: 7
What each AI noted 7
- Claudeplace 4
Elo 1687 (rank 150) yet 6 goals in 2 games, including 4-2 away at KuPS.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 5
A second win came with a clean sheet and a goal plus an assist from Mohamed Salah.
- Metaplace 6
Perfect 6 pts with Salah 150th UEFA game, beat Hearts 2-0 despite 78% Elo favourite tag
- Grokplace 5
Back-to-back wins including 2-0 over Hearts with Salah involved
- Geminiplace 6
Vaulted past an UEFA coefficient ranking of 112th to post back-to-back multi-goal wins, including a 2-0 shutout of Scottish side Hearts.
Source ↗ - StepFunplace 3
Six goals in two games from a €184.30m squad rated 150th in Europe.
- DeepSeekplace 7
Six points with six goals; UEFA's 169th-ranked side is outrunning its coefficient, not its Elo.
Source ↗
7 AIs put it here - 5
Sint-Truiden (Sint-Truidense)
Two clean-sheet wins (3-0 on goals) on an Elo of 1,617, including 1-0 at Midtjylland, who are rated about 90–100 points higher.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, DeepSeek. Did not include: StepFun.In their lists: Claude: 2 · ChatGPT: 8 · Meta: 1 · Grok: 7 · Gemini: 2 · DeepSeek: 4
What each AI noted 6
- Claudeplace 2
Elo 1617 (rank 292) and two wins with a clean sheet in both: 3-0 on goals.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 8
A 1–0 win away at Midtjylland followed a 2–0 opener: six points and three goals conceded by neither opponent.
- Metaplace 1
Elo 261st vs Midtjylland 110th, yet 1-0 away win — 6 pts from two games ranked 73rd by UEFA
- Grokplace 7
Clean-sheet double and 3-0 aggregate for Belgian mid-table club
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 2
Carried a 135th-tier UEFA coefficient to consecutive clean-sheet victories against Midtjylland and Iberia, defying an Elo expected haul of just 1.8 points.
- DeepSeekplace 4
Six points from two games with only three goals — the purest points-over-rating start in the division.
Source ↗
6 AIs put it here - 6
SK Brann
Lowest Elo of the eight perfect sides (1,576, about 390th–406th in Europe), but both wins came against the weakest-rated opponents in the draw.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, DeepSeek. Did not include: StepFun.In their lists: Claude: 1 · ChatGPT: 3 · Meta: 4 · Grok: 4 · Gemini: 5 · DeepSeek: 8
What each AI noted 6
- Claudeplace 1
Elo 1576 (rank 406 on the Norway-page snapshot) and 6 points from 2 games, with 6 goals scored and 2 conceded.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 3
A 4–1 away victory featured the league phase's first hat-trick, making Brann's second-round response impossible to dismiss as a narrow escape.
- Metaplace 4
6 goals, first hat-trick of phase by Noah Holm, from Norwegian pot 4
- Grokplace 4
Two wins and +4 GD from Norway's mid-table side
- Geminiplace 5
Collected maximum points and 6 goals against Lincoln Red Imps and Kauno Žalgiris, nearly doubling their 3.3 Elo-projected points tally.
- DeepSeekplace 8
Six points from a club ranked 389th by Elo — the widest rating gap in the perfect-start group.
Source ↗
6 AIs put it here - 7
FC Twente
Six points and 5-1 on goals from an Elo of about 1,660–1,667. A +2.2 xG difference after MD1 suggests the start is real, not luck.
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, DeepSeek. Did not include: StepFun.In their lists: Claude: 7 · ChatGPT: 6 · Meta: 7 · Grok: 6 · Gemini: 7 · DeepSeek: 6
What each AI noted 6
- Claudeplace 7
6 points and 5-1 on goals from an Elo of 1667, with Thun beaten 1-0 on matchday 1.
Source ↗ - ChatGPTplace 6
A 4–1 away win over Lincoln Red Imps backed up a clean-sheet opening victory, giving Twente a strong early goal difference.
- Metaplace 7
Two wins to nil conceded — only club with Brighton on 0 goals against, from pot 3
- Grokplace 6
Perfect start and +4 GD from Dutch side many rated mid-pack
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 7
Turned an Elo expectation of 3.8 points into 6 full points with a +4 differential, outscoring their xG expectation by 1.9 goals.
- DeepSeekplace 6
Six points, five goals and one conceded; the Elo gap says this is no fluke.
Source ↗
6 AIs put it here - 8
AS Monaco
Elo already rates them 47th in Europe (1,795), so the perfect start is what was expected. The 3-0 over Freiburg (1,790) came from only about 1.1–1.25 xG.
Included it: ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, StepFun, DeepSeek. Did not include: Claude, Gemini.In their lists: ChatGPT: 4 · Meta: 8 · Grok: 1 · StepFun: 6 · DeepSeek: 3
What each AI noted 5
- ChatGPTplace 4
Two wins included a 3–0 defeat of last season's Europa League runners-up Freiburg, a result with a stronger opponent-quality signal than a routine victory.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 8
3-0 vs Freiburg on Oct 22, 5-1 aggregate — Elo 1713 but UEFA ranks it only 51st
- Grokplace 1
Perfect 6 pts and 5-1 GD after thrashing last season's runners-up Freiburg 3-0
Source ↗ - StepFunplace 6
The only six-point side whose rating already said they belong — 1,795, 47th in Europe.
- DeepSeekplace 3
3-0 against Freiburg from 1.25 xG — the most clinical perfect start in the league phase.
Source ↗
5 AIs put it here - 9
FC Copenhagen
Won 3-0 against Braga, who are rated about 21 Elo points higher, scoring 3 goals from 1.56 xG. They then drew 2-2 with Crvena Zvezda for 4 points.
Included it: Claude, Grok, Gemini, StepFun, DeepSeek. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta.In their lists: Claude: 10 · Grok: 10 · Gemini: 10 · StepFun: 7 · DeepSeek: 9
What each AI noted 5
- Claudeplace 10
Drew 2-2 away at Red Star Belgrade after a 3-0 win over Braga, and holds 4 points on 5 goals.
Source ↗ - Grokplace 10
Unbeaten with +3 GD after drawing with Red Star
- Geminiplace 10
Swept tournament favorites Braga 3-0 and secured a 2-2 draw at Red Star, converting 5 goals from 2.7 xG.
- StepFunplace 7
Won 3-0 at a Braga side ClubElo rates 21 points above them.
- DeepSeekplace 9
Five goals from two games, including three from 1.56 xG in the opener — hot finishing without a perfect record.
Source ↗
5 AIs put it here - 10
Universitatea Craiova
Unbeaten on 4 points with an Elo of 1,591, including a 1-1 draw with Getafe (about 107 Elo points higher). UEFA ranks them 182nd.
Included it: Claude, Meta, Gemini, DeepSeek. Did not include: ChatGPT, Grok, StepFun.In their lists: Claude: 6 · Meta: 10 · Gemini: 8 · DeepSeek: 10
What each AI noted 4
- Claudeplace 6
Elo 1591: unbeaten with 4 points, including a 3-1 win away at Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Source ↗ - Metaplace 10
4 pts from 2, beat Inter Escaldes 3-1 away — UEFA rank 182 but outruns Elo
- Geminiplace 8
Stole an away point at Getafe and defeated Inter Escaldes 3-1 to collect 4 points, outperforming their 150th UEFA seed projection.
Source ↗ - DeepSeekplace 10
Four points and five goals from a club UEFA ranks 182nd — the quiet overrun outside the perfect-start queue.
4 AIs put it here
02Worth knowing
What the AIs noticed while building the list.
Brighton are the biggest underperformer against their own rating. They have the field's highest Elo (1,904) and led FotMob's xG difference after matchday 1 (+4.1), yet have only 4 points after a 0-0 draw.
No open source yet shows full two-match xG. FBref stopped carrying Opta's advanced data in January 2026, and FotMob's indexed league-phase xG is a matchday-1 snapshot.
Elo snapshots differ by date and site: some clubelo pages are stamped 21 October, before the late matchday-2 results.
03Questions people ask
What are the Europa Conference League standings?
After matchday 2 (22 October 2026), eight clubs have 6 points. Panathinaikos lead on goal difference (+5), and Lugano have scored the most goals (8).
Source ↗How many teams go through from the Conference League table?
The league phase has 36 clubs playing six games each. The top eight go straight to the last 16, clubs ranked 9th to 24th enter the play-offs, and 25th to 36th are eliminated.
Source ↗Why do Elo and UEFA rankings disagree?
UEFA's coefficient counts only five seasons of European results, while Club Elo also counts domestic games. Hajduk Split, for example, are 198th on the coefficient but beat Ajax, who are 59th.
04How we counted
In plain words, no formulas.
1The question
Top 10 Conference League Clubs Whose Results Most Outrun Their Rating
2Why this topic
No single table puts points, xG and two rival strength ratings side by side, so the reader can see which strong starts are likely to last.
3Where it applies
UEFA Conference League 2026-27 league phase, after matchday 2 (October 22, 2026)
4What we looked at
- Points won so far compared with the points the club's Club Elo rating predicted
- Goals scored compared with expected goals (xG) created
- Gap between the club's UEFA five-season coefficient rank and its current Club Elo rank
- UEFA (league phase table) — Official points, goals for and goals against after matchday 2
- Club Elo (clubelo.com) — Current strength rating on one all-Europe scale, updated after every domestic and European match
- UEFA five-season club coefficient — Rank among all European clubs, built only from European results (UEFA team guide, as of 14 September)
- FotMob / MatchPulse (Opta-style xG) — Expected goals for and against. Only partial snapshots were published, mostly from matchday 1
5Who ranked
The leading AIs, each building its own list of ten independently and naming a source for every place: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, StepFun, DeepSeek.
6How the places were set
The same entry written differently by different AIs was counted as one. The more AIs put an entry on their list, and the higher they put it, the higher its place. "AI agreement" shows how many of the AIs had it on their own list. Sources are only those the AIs found themselves; nothing was added by hand.
05Each AI's own list
🇺🇸 Claude10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by Claude alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Brann (Norway)
Elo 1576 (rank 406 on the Norway-page snapshot) and 6 points from 2 games, with 6 goals scored and 2 conceded.
Source ↗ - 2Sint-Truiden (Sint-Truidense)
Elo 1617 (rank 292) and two wins with a clean sheet in both: 3-0 on goals.
Source ↗ - 3Hajduk Split
Beat Ajax 2-1 on matchday 1 with an Elo of 1599, nearly 100 points below them.
Source ↗ - 4Trabzonspor
Elo 1687 (rank 150) yet 6 goals in 2 games, including 4-2 away at KuPS.
Source ↗ - 5Lugano
Eight goals in two games, including a 5-2 win at Getafe, from a side with an Elo of 1664.
Source ↗ - 6Universitatea Craiova
Elo 1591: unbeaten with 4 points, including a 3-1 win away at Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Source ↗ - 7Twente
6 points and 5-1 on goals from an Elo of 1667, with Thun beaten 1-0 on matchday 1.
Source ↗ - 8Panathinaikos
Scored 5 at Kairat Almaty on matchday 2 (7 goals in the phase) from an Elo of 1662.
Source ↗ - 9Mjällby AIF
4 points and unbeaten, with a 2-0 home win over Inter Club d'Escaldes on matchday 1.
Source ↗ - 10Copenhagen
Drew 2-2 away at Red Star Belgrade after a 3-0 win over Braga, and holds 4 points on 5 goals.
Source ↗
What Claude noticed
Eight clubs have a perfect 6 points after two games: Panathinaikos, Lugano, Brann, Trabzonspor, Twente, Monaco, Sint-Truiden and Hajduk Split. Of these, Monaco (Elo 1795, rank 47) is the only one rated near the top of the field.
Brann's Elo rank of about 406 is the lowest I retrieved for any club with a perfect record.
Matchday 2 sent two big seeds backwards. Ajax lost 2-1 at Hajduk Split on matchday 1 before beating Atalanta 2-0, and Atalanta have 3 points.
🇺🇸 ChatGPT10 places · 1 notes
The same question, answered by ChatGPT alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Panathinaikos (Greece), Conference League 2026/27
A 5–1 away win turned two opening victories into a six-point statement, with five goals scored in Kazakhstan alone.
- 2Lugano (Switzerland), Conference League 2026/27
Five goals away to Getafe, after already beating Crvena Zvezda, made this one of the round's most striking attacking performances.
- 3Brann (Norway), Conference League 2026/27
A 4–1 away victory featured the league phase's first hat-trick, making Brann's second-round response impossible to dismiss as a narrow escape.
- 4Monaco (France), Conference League 2026/27
Two wins included a 3–0 defeat of last season's Europa League runners-up Freiburg, a result with a stronger opponent-quality signal than a routine victory.
Source ↗ - 5Trabzonspor (Türkiye), Conference League 2026/27
A second win came with a clean sheet and a goal plus an assist from Mohamed Salah.
- 6FC Twente (Netherlands), Conference League 2026/27
A 4–1 away win over Lincoln Red Imps backed up a clean-sheet opening victory, giving Twente a strong early goal difference.
- 7Hajduk Split (Croatia), Conference League 2026/27
After upsetting Ajax in the opener, Hajduk won 1–0 away at Thun: two wins without needing a goal avalanche.
- 8Sint-Truidense (Belgium), Conference League 2026/27
A 1–0 win away at Midtjylland followed a 2–0 opener: six points and three goals conceded by neither opponent.
- 9Borac Banja Luka (Bosnia and Herzegovina), Conference League 2026/27
A 2–0 win over KuPS turned an opening defeat into a clean-sheet response, but the six-point benchmark remains out of reach.
- 10Brighton & Hove Albion (England), Conference League 2026/27
Four goals in the opener were followed by a 0–0 draw: Brighton's early attacking signal survived, but the perfect-start story did not.
What ChatGPT noticed
Brighton had the best early team xG difference in FotMob's indexed data, at +4.1 after the first round, despite failing to score against Jablonec in matchday two. This illustrates why chance quality and actual goals should be reported separately.
🇺🇸 Meta10 places · 1 notes
The same question, answered by Meta alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Sint-Truidense (Belgium) 2026-27
Elo 261st vs Midtjylland 110th, yet 1-0 away win — 6 pts from two games ranked 73rd by UEFA
- 2Hajduk Split (Croatia) 2026-27
Beat Ajax 2-1 on MD1 as Elo outsider, now 6 pts with only 3 goals scored — efficiency over xG
- 3FC Lugano (Switzerland) 2026-27
8 goals in 2 games leads competition, 5-2 at Getafe after trailing — most over xG
- 4SK Brann (Norway) 2026-27
6 goals, first hat-trick of phase by Noah Holm, from Norwegian pot 4
- 5Panathinaikos (Greece) 2026-27
Top of table on GD +5 after 5-1 at Kairat — 7 goals from ∼3.5 xG
- 6Trabzonspor (Turkey) 2026-27
Perfect 6 pts with Salah 150th UEFA game, beat Hearts 2-0 despite 78% Elo favourite tag
- 7FC Twente】 (Netherlands) 2026-27
Two wins to nil conceded — only club with Brighton on 0 goals against, from pot 3
- 8AS Monaco】 (France) 2026-27
3-0 vs Freiburg on Oct 22, 5-1 aggregate — Elo 1713 but UEFA ranks it only 51st
- 9Mjallby AIF (Sweden) 2026-27
Swedish champions ranked 277 by UEFA but 4 pts from 2 games, +2 GD
- 10Universitatea Craiova (Romania) 2026-27
4 pts from 2, beat Inter Escaldes 3-1 away — UEFA rank 182 but outruns Elo
What Meta noticed
Swedish champions Mjallby ranked 277 by UEFA yet sit on 4 pts above Ajax and Atalanta on coefficient 84.000
🇺🇸 Grok10 places · 3 notes
The same question, answered by Grok alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1AS Monaco 2026-27
Perfect 6 pts and 5-1 GD after thrashing last season's runners-up Freiburg 3-0
Source ↗ - 2Panathinaikos 2026-27
Top of the table on goal difference after 7-2 aggregate including 5-1 away rout
- 3FC Lugano 2026-27
8 goals in two games, including 5-2 demolition of Getafe
Source ↗ - 4SK Brann 2026-27
Two wins and +4 GD from Norway's mid-table side
- 5Trabzonspor 2026-27
Back-to-back wins including 2-0 over Hearts with Salah involved
- 6FC Twente 2026-27
Perfect start and +4 GD from Dutch side many rated mid-pack
Source ↗ - 7Sint-Truidense 2026-27
Clean-sheet double and 3-0 aggregate for Belgian mid-table club
Source ↗ - 8HNK Hajduk Split 2026-27
Two narrow wins and +2 GD from Croatian side
Source ↗ - 9Brighton & Hove Albion 2026-27
Unbeaten with 4-0 GD despite a 0-0 draw, still the clear pre-tournament favourite
Source ↗ - 10FC Copenhagen 2026-27
Unbeaten with +3 GD after drawing with Red Star
What Grok noticed
Monaco's 3-0 win over Freiburg (last season's Conference League runners-up) is the clearest early signal that a Ligue 1 side can dominate this competition.
Brighton remain the Opta supercomputer's overwhelming favourites (43.8% win chance) despite dropping points, underlining the gap between English squad quality and everyone else.
Lugano's 5-2 thrashing of Getafe produced the highest goal tally of the round and highlights Swiss clubs' ability to overperform ratings.
🇺🇸 Gemini10 places · 2 notes
The same question, answered by Gemini alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1FC Lugano
Scored 8 goals from an expected goals figure of barely 3.1 xG, including 5 past La Liga's Getafe in Madrid to sit atop the table.
Source ↗ - 2Sint-Truidense VV
Carried a 135th-tier UEFA coefficient to consecutive clean-sheet victories against Midtjylland and Iberia, defying an Elo expected haul of just 1.8 points.
- 3HNK Hajduk Split
Shocked Dutch heavyweights Ajax 2-1 before edging Thun 1-0, surviving a combined 4.1 xG conceded while allowing only 1 goal.
Source ↗ - 4Panathinaikos FC
Racked up 7 goals from only 3.25 xG across two matches, capped by a 5-1 away demolition of Kairat Almaty.
- 5SK Brann
Collected maximum points and 6 goals against Lincoln Red Imps and Kauno Žalgiris, nearly doubling their 3.3 Elo-projected points tally.
- 6Trabzonspor
Vaulted past an UEFA coefficient ranking of 112th to post back-to-back multi-goal wins, including a 2-0 shutout of Scottish side Hearts.
Source ↗ - 7FC Twente
Turned an Elo expectation of 3.8 points into 6 full points with a +4 differential, outscoring their xG expectation by 1.9 goals.
- 8Universitatea Craiova
Stole an away point at Getafe and defeated Inter Escaldes 3-1 to collect 4 points, outperforming their 150th UEFA seed projection.
Source ↗ - 9Mjällby AIF
Secured 4 points and an unbeaten start despite carrying the lowest coefficient ranking (175th) of any club currently in the tournament's top 12.
- 10FC Copenhagen
Swept tournament favorites Braga 3-0 and secured a 2-2 draw at Red Star, converting 5 goals from 2.7 xG.
What Gemini noticed
FC Lugano scored 8 goals on just 3.1 expected goals across two matchdays, an extraordinary 158% finishing overperformance that leads all European group and league phases.
Croatian underdogs Hajduk Split conceded 27 total shots against Ajax and Thun yet allowed only one goal, outrunning expected goals against by 3.1.
🇨🇳 StepFun10 places · 4 notes
The same question, answered by StepFun alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1FC Lugano (Switzerland) 2026-27
Conceded after 108 seconds at Getafe and won 5-2 — with a €45.23m squad.
- 2Panathinaikos (Greece) 2026-27
Top of a 36-team table on an Elo of 1,654 — and 5-1 in Almaty.
- 3Trabzonspor (Turkey) 2026-27
Six goals in two games from a €184.30m squad rated 150th in Europe.
- 4Hajduk Split (Croatia) 2026-27
A 1,595-rated club beat a side 91 Elo points higher — and 59th on UEFA's coefficient.
- 5Sigma Olomouc (Czechia) 2026-27
Goalless against the highest-rated club in the competition — Brighton's 1,904.
- 6AS Monaco (France) 2026-27
The only six-point side whose rating already said they belong — 1,795, 47th in Europe.
- 7FC Copenhagen (Denmark) 2026-27
Won 3-0 at a Braga side ClubElo rates 21 points above them.
- 8Ajax (Netherlands) 2026-27
152nd in Europe by Elo, 59th by UEFA coefficient — and 2-0 winners over Atalanta.
Source ↗ - 9Egnatia (Albania) 2026-27
Debutants held Midtjylland, rated 1,720, to a 1-1 draw at home.
- 10Riga FC (Latvia) 2026-27
A debutant Latvian side took a point away at Pafos.
Source ↗
What StepFun noticed
Brighton are the field's biggest underperformer against their own rating: ClubElo 1,904, the highest of all 36 clubs, yet only 4 points and a goalless draw at Sigma Olomouc after a 4-0 home win — the strongest side on paper is not the biggest overperformer.
Of the four six-point sides, only Monaco sits inside Europe's top 50 on ClubElo (47th); Panathinaikos (1,654), Lugano (1,650) and Trabzonspor (1,687) all sit outside the top 140.
Squad values split the six-pointers roughly 15-fold: Brighton's €700.00m against Lugano's €45.23m — and Lugano, not Brighton, are level on points with the leaders.
Matchday 1 produced 53 goals in 18 matches (2.94 per game) in front of 303,438 spectators — an average of 16,858 per game in a competition often written off as empty.
🇨🇳 DeepSeek10 places · 2 notes
The same question, answered by DeepSeek alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Lugano (2026-27 Conference League)
Eight goals and six points from a club Elo ranks 181st — the loudest overrun in the league phase.
Source ↗ - 2Hajduk Split (2026-27 Conference League)
Six points with three goals and one conceded; the 2-1 win over Ajax was a 47% Elo shot.
Source ↗ - 3Monaco (2026-27 Conference League)
3-0 against Freiburg from 1.25 xG — the most clinical perfect start in the league phase.
Source ↗ - 4Sint-Truiden (2026-27 Conference League)
Six points from two games with only three goals — the purest points-over-rating start in the division.
Source ↗ - 5Panathinaikos (2026-27 Conference League)
Seven goals but 7.5 xG — the perfect start is volume, not overfinishing.
Source ↗ - 6Twente (2026-27 Conference League)
Six points, five goals and one conceded; the Elo gap says this is no fluke.
Source ↗ - 7Trabzonspor (2026-27 Conference League)
Six points with six goals; UEFA's 169th-ranked side is outrunning its coefficient, not its Elo.
Source ↗ - 8Brann (2026-27 Conference League)
Six points from a club ranked 389th by Elo — the widest rating gap in the perfect-start group.
Source ↗ - 9FC Copenhagen (2026-27 Conference League)
Five goals from two games, including three from 1.56 xG in the opener — hot finishing without a perfect record.
Source ↗ - 10Universitatea Craiova (2026-27 Conference League)
Four points and five goals from a club UEFA ranks 182nd — the quiet overrun outside the perfect-start queue.
What DeepSeek noticed
Monaco's 3-0 was built on only 1.25 xG, while Freiburg managed 0.83 — the perfect start is clinical, not chance-heavy.
Panathinaikos have scored seven goals but created about 7.5 xG, so their six points are more about volume and matchup than a finishing streak.