Prochain James Bond : cotes d'octobre 2026, bookmakers contre Kalshi

Bookmakers give him about 7.7%, while Kalshi gives him 10% even though he was not offered a screen test, per The Hollywood Reporter.

The later shortlist reporting says he is out, so older odds would overstate his present standing.

Once joint-third, now reported not among the four finalists

Solidified a spot in the final audition tier with a 3.8% bookmaker probability and 5.0% on Kalshi contracts.

8% Bookmakers — Ink screening test, Skins alum

Danny Boyle's endorsed name: 11% on Kalshi in early October, 5% by mid-October — a market that cannot hold a level.

A steady 12/1 outsider with bookmakers, though his name rarely moves the Kalshi needle.

Named a finalist by Jeff Sneider on 20 Oct, but The Hollywood Reporter says he is not screen testing, and both markets still price him at 7–9%.

Recent reporting says he was out of the final running, despite years of casting speculation.

Earlier shortlist name now reported out of the final four tests; odds have lengthened

7% Bookmakers — Euphoria star, Kalshi volatility spike

Insiders still shortlist him ('Elordi, Lowden and a mystery name'), but the market prices him at about 11% — fame the odds no longer follow.

Named Amazon MGM's top earlier pick, with 19% Kalshi probability in May 2026 supported by recent Oscar nomination buzz

Massive public search interest, but bookmakers keep him at 14/1 fearing he's already too famous.

The 2020s name people still remember from earlier Bond talk now sits at 5% on Kalshi.

Oddschecker had him at 6/1 in August; later reporting said he was out of the running for the reported final tests.

Former favourite now 25/1 and outside the final screen-test group

The former runaway favorite plunged to 4.2% with bookmakers but still controls a massive 16.8% of global public search curiosity.

15% Bookmakers — Previously reported as close to role

The consensus's fourth man at 14% — ahead of Elordi with the books despite months of insider silence.

Once the overwhelming favorite, his odds have drifted as the Amazon search narrowed to newer faces.

Bookmakers price him at 8/1, but Kalshi has no number for him in the reports I found.

William Hill’s October 23 report discussed him at 14/1 while listing Lowden as favourite and Turner as challenger.

Sudden bookie move from 40/1 to 14/1 but still far behind the testing trio

Maintains persistent legacy betting support at 2.6% despite no confirmed presence in late-stage 2026 screen tests.

11% Bookmakers — Game of Thrones star, 40 years old

The Game of Thrones alumnus remains a steady 8/1 dark horse across UK sportsbooks.

A surprise name from August who still holds 8–12% on Kalshi but is not among the reported finalists.

Long-shot still listed at 7-14/1 and occasionally appears in market snapshots

August's Kalshi darling at about 30% and a 9/4 bookmaker favourite — by late October he is not on the live odds board at all.

The 31-year-old unknown who crashed the shortlist and slashed odds, yet lacks public search volume.

Persistent long-shot at 14/1 with no confirmed test

A rising indie-to-blockbuster darling capturing 2.0% market probability while drawing 3.6% in 007 search interest.

Same long-list limbo as Mescal — famous enough to tip in every round-up, not famous enough for a live price.

The Kingsman star sits at 16/1, a distant shadow of his former frontrunner status.

Fame outruns the odds: Kalshi puts him at 9% although the same article calls him likely too old for the role.