Back to the trend of the day: Warriors explore trade options for Kristaps Porzingis, who is out indefinitely
Poly Rating · from the trend of the day

Warriors Porzingis Trade: 10 Hardest NBA Contracts 2026

Porzingis is out indefinitely, yet only $3M of his $20M salary for next season is guaranteed, which makes his deal one of the easier ones to move; the real wall is Embiid, owed $187.9M after playing 57 games in two seasons.

  • No. 1: Joel Embiid
  • 10 places

01Final list

The leading AIs each built their own list of ten independently. Here is one result that is easy to check: every place has a reason, a source, and the list of AIs that included it.

Order: from most to least AI agreement.

A bright badge means this AI put the entry on its list. A dim badge means it did not.

  1. 1

    Joel Embiid

    He is owed $187.9M over three years, with a player option in 2028-29, and has played 57 games in the last two seasons. He is No. 1 on the CBS and theScore worst-contract lists.

    Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, MiMo, StepFun, DeepSeek, Qwen. Did not include: Nova, Wenxin, Kimi.

    In their lists: Claude: 1 · ChatGPT: 2 · Meta: 2 · Gemini: 2 · MiMo: 1 · StepFun: 2 · DeepSeek: 1 · Qwen: 2

    What each AI noted 8
    • Claudeplace 1

      He has played 76 of a possible 246 games over three seasons, and $187.9M over three years is the biggest bill on any 'worst contract' list.

    • ChatGPTplace 2

      An MVP-level ceiling sits beside a contract with $120.848 million guaranteed across the seasons displayed in the 2026–27 salary table.

      Source ↗
    • Metaplace 2

      $58M extension year 1 of 3yr $193M starts now, only 58 games total past two seasons, 49% career games missed

      Source ↗
    • Geminiplace 2

      A supermax extension scaling past $60 million annually collides with chronic knee maintenance, requiring trading partners to wager entire payrolls on an unpredictable postseason hinge.

    • MiMoplace 1

      The 187M extension signed in 2024 only starts now — for a player averaging 40.8 games a season over 12 years.

      Source ↗
    • StepFunplace 2

      The most guaranteed money in the league attached to a body that has missed roughly half its games: $187.9M owed, 490 games played in 12 seasons.

      Source ↗
    • DeepSeekplace 1

      $187.9M fully guaranteed, and he has played 57 of 164 games over the last two seasons.

    • Qwenplace 2

      A $55M supermax anchor with chronic knee issues, trapped in second-apron hell.

      Source ↗
    8 AIs put it here
  2. 2

    Kristaps Porzingis

    He is out indefinitely with POTS and may retire, yet only $3M of next year's $20M is guaranteed. The barrier is his health, not the money.

    Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, DeepSeek, Qwen. Did not include: StepFun, Wenxin, Kimi.

    In their lists: Claude: 10 · ChatGPT: 1 · Meta: 5 · Gemini: 6 · Nova · MiMo: 7 · DeepSeek: 7 · Qwen: 1

    What each AI noted 8
    • Claudeplace 10

      He is out indefinitely and might retire, yet the deal is among the easiest here to move: $20M this year, with only $3M of next year's $20M guaranteed.

      Source ↗
    • ChatGPTplace 1

      The contract looks like $20 million of trouble today, but only $3 million of its reported $20 million second-season salary is guaranteed.

      Source ↗
    • Metaplace 5

      $20M this year only $3M guaranteed next July 7, out indefinitely POTS, 32 games last season and retirement talk

      Source ↗
    • Geminiplace 6

      Sidelined indefinitely due to POTS and considering his playing future, his $20 million deal functions primarily as non-court ballast that requires sweetener picks to re-route.

    • Nova

      Named differently in its own list: open the full list.

    • MiMoplace 7

      20M for a player 'seriously contemplating his future in basketball' — yet the structure means Golden State still has to attach picks to move him.

      Source ↗
    • DeepSeekplace 7

      $20M expiring and only $3M guaranteed next season — the contract is easy; the health is not.

      Source ↗
    • Qwenplace 1

      Out indefinitely with POTS, his $20M cap hit scares partners despite only $3M guaranteed in 2027-28.

      Source ↗
    8 AIs put it here
  3. 3

    Paul George

    He earns $54.1M this season plus a $56.6M player option at 37, and has missed 86 games in two seasons. Philadelphia added picks to move him to Boston in the Jaylen Brown deal.

    Included it: Claude, Meta, Gemini, MiMo, StepFun, Kimi. Did not include: ChatGPT, Nova, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 3 · Meta: 1 · Gemini: 3 · MiMo: 2 · StepFun: 10 · Kimi: 3

    What each AI noted 6
    • Claudeplace 3

      He has missed 86 games over two seasons, and Boston took on $110.7M over two years plus a player option at age 37.

      Source ↗
    • Metaplace 1

      $54.1M + $56.6M player option at 36, Bleacher Report's No.1 most overpaid in 2026-27 at 32.8% of cap

      Source ↗
    • Geminiplace 3

      Committed through his age-37 season at over $54 million per year, his four-year pact leaves virtually zero margin for any acquiring team operating near luxury tax boundaries.

    • MiMoplace 2

      Boston didn't trade for Paul George — he was the toll for getting off Jaylen Brown's contract, and his 56.6M option is already picked up.

      Source ↗
    • StepFunplace 10

      Boston just absorbed $54.1M plus a $56.6M player option for a player whose last two seasons were 41 games and a March 25 season debut — and it took Jaylen Brown and four picks to move the contract at all.

      Source ↗
    • Kimiplace 3

      Boston flipped Jaylen Brown and still ended up with the harder contract to move — 2 years, $110.7M for a 36-year-old who has missed 86 games over the last two seasons.

      Source ↗
    6 AIs put it here
  4. More about the top three ↓
  5. 4

    Zion Williamson

    He is owed $87.05M over two years, but his 62 games last season made him tradeable again. Sources disagree on whether 2027-28 is fully guaranteed.

    Included it: ChatGPT, Gemini, MiMo, StepFun, Kimi, Qwen. Did not include: Claude, Meta, Nova, DeepSeek, Wenxin.

    In their lists: ChatGPT: 3 · Gemini: 5 · MiMo: see list · StepFun: 4 · Kimi: 9 · Qwen: 3

    What each AI noted 6
    • ChatGPTplace 3

      Two listed seasons carry $87.053 million in guaranteed money, making his availability history relevant to a very large commitment.

      Source ↗
    • Geminiplace 5

      Though conditioning de-escalators protect against guaranteed payouts, his $40 million base cap figure remains an immovable financial anchor for apron-restricted contenders.

    • MiMo

      Named differently in its own list: open the full list.

      see list
    • StepFunplace 4

      $87M guaranteed across two seasons for a player who has missed about 52% of his career games — and whose contract only got safer for him because he kept hitting games-played triggers.

    • Kimiplace 9

      A contract designed to be untradeable: $87M over two years with game-count and weigh-in triggers, and the league still wouldn't touch him this summer.

      Source ↗
    • Qwenplace 3

      Missed his entire 2021-22 season and over half his possible career games while on a max deal.

      Source ↗
    6 AIs put it here
  6. 5

    Trae Young

    Washington guaranteed him $212.8M over four years after he played 15 games last season. Atlanta's best return for him was McCollum and Kispert. Sources disagree on which year holds his player option.

    Included it: Claude, MiMo, StepFun, DeepSeek, Kimi. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, Wenxin, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 2 · MiMo: see list · StepFun: 6 · DeepSeek: 2 · Kimi: 2

    What each AI noted 5
    • Claudeplace 2

      He played 15 games last season and is owed about $212.8M over four years.

    • MiMo

      Named differently in its own list: open the full list.

      see list
    • StepFunplace 6

      Four years and $212.8M committed to a guard who averaged 17.9 points last season — roughly an $18M-a-year gap between the contract and his modeled market value.

    • DeepSeekplace 2

      Four years and $212.8M for a guard who played 15 games last season — after being salary-dumped months earlier.

    • Kimiplace 2

      Paid $212.8M over four years — the 11th-most money owed in the league — six weeks after his nonexistent trade market let Washington acquire him for CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert.

      Source ↗
    5 AIs put it here
  7. 6

    Anthony Davis

    He earns $58.5M now plus a $62.8M player option, at 33, after playing 20 games last season. Still, he scored 34 points in his Wizards debut on Oct 21.

    Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, MiMo, StepFun, Kimi. Did not include: Meta, Gemini, Nova, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 4 · ChatGPT: 4 · MiMo: 3 · StepFun: 3 · Kimi: 4

    What each AI noted 5
    • Claudeplace 4

      He was acquired at the February 2026 deadline but never played a game for Washington last season, then scored 34 points in his Wizards debut on Oct 21.

    • ChatGPTplace 4

      A $58.457 million salary is difficult to match even before a buyer prices in any availability concerns.

      Source ↗
    • MiMoplace 3

      31 of 85 possible games as a Maverick — and Washington now owes him58.5𝑀𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑑58.5Mthisseasonand62.8M if he opts in.

      Source ↗
    • StepFunplace 3

      $58.5M for a 33-year-old who played 20 games last season and is asking for a four-year, $275M extension — the highest per-season salary on this list with the least recent proof.

      Source ↗
    • Kimiplace 4

      Two teams in 12 months traded for him while he was hurt — $58.5M this season plus a $62.8M player option for a 33-year-old who played 20 total games in 2025-26.

      Source ↗
    5 AIs put it here
  8. 7

    Ja Morant

    He played 79 games in three seasons, and Memphis could only swap him for Jerami Grant's contract. He is owed $87.1M over two years, though SportsGrid lists five years and $197.2M.

    Included it: Claude, MiMo, DeepSeek, Kimi. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, StepFun, Wenxin, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 5 · MiMo: 6 · DeepSeek: 4 · Kimi: 8

    What each AI noted 4
    • Claudeplace 5

      Only 79 games in three seasons, against $87.1M still owed over two years (The Score) or $197.2M over five (SportsGrid).

    • MiMoplace 6

      59 games in the two seasons before last, then Memphis swapped him for Jerami Grant's expiring money.

      Source ↗
    • DeepSeekplace 4

      Two years and $87.1M is shorter — but 79 games in three seasons is the number that scares teams.

    • Kimiplace 8

      Memphis dumped a 27-year-old two-time All-Star for Jerami Grant and Kris Murray — a salary dump on 2 years, $87.1M, with 79 games played in three seasons.

    4 AIs put it here
  9. 8

    De'Aaron Fox

    He is healthy, with 72 starts last season, but owes San Antonio four years and $221.7M (ESPN says $229M) next to Wembanyama's max. Moving him would likely cost picks.

    Included it: Claude, StepFun, DeepSeek. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, Wenxin, Kimi, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 7 · StepFun: 7 · DeepSeek: 3

    What each AI noted 3
    • Claudeplace 7

      He is healthy, but $221.7M over four years (31% of the cap) leaves San Antonio little room to extend its young stars.

    • StepFunplace 7

      A four-year maximum extension — $221.7M, $229M or $223.1M depending on who is counting — signed by a team that just committed $252M to Wembanyama.

      Source ↗
    • DeepSeekplace 3

      $221.7M over four years for a third guard — San Antonio would have to attach draft capital to move him.

    3 AIs put it here
  10. 9

    Domantas Sabonis

    He is owed $94.1M over two years and played 19 games last season because of a knee injury. SportsGrid instead lists four years and $186M.

    Included it: Claude, DeepSeek, Kimi. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, StepFun, Wenxin, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 8 · DeepSeek: 5 · Kimi: 5

    What each AI noted 3
    • Claudeplace 8

      He missed most of last season with a knee injury, and the contract length differs by source: 2 years and $94.1M, or 4 years and $186M.

    • DeepSeekplace 5

      $94.1M over two years for a center who ranked 73rd of 76 at the rim and played 19 games last season.

    • Kimiplace 5

      2 years, $94.1M ($47M per year, 27.8% of cap) for a big man who missed most of last season with a knee injury — and can't be flipped for value the way Davis can.

    3 AIs put it here
  11. 10

    Jakob Poeltl

    He has four years and $103.6M left at 31, after missing 93 games in three seasons with back trouble. The length of the deal is the problem, not the size.

    Included it: Claude, DeepSeek, Kimi. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, StepFun, Wenxin, Qwen.

    In their lists: Claude: 9 · DeepSeek: 6 · Kimi: 7

    What each AI noted 3
    • Claudeplace 9

      He has missed 93 games in three seasons and has four years and $103.6M left at age 31.

    • DeepSeekplace 6

      $103.6M over four years for a 30-something 7-footer with a back issue and 93 games missed in three years.

    • Kimiplace 7

      4 years, $103.6M at ~$28M per year for a center who missed 93 games over three seasons and is losing his closing job to a rookie on a top-heavy payroll.

    3 AIs put it here

02More about the top three

The ranking is above. Here is more about the three places at the top: what they are, why they are here, and what is worth knowing.

1Joel Embiid

No. 1 — Joel Embiid. On the lists of 8 of 11 AIs; median place there: 2. A huge guaranteed bill and very limited recent playing time make his contract the toughest to move.

Joel Embiid 2019
All-Pro Reels · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Did you know

  • In 2024, Embiid became the first NBA player to record at least 70 points, 18 rebounds and five assists in one game. — (voice only)

What it is
A three-year deal with a player option in 2028-29.
Its edge
The largest stated bill and the most games missed among these three.
Who should know
Useful to readers comparing how money and availability can block a trade.
  • Contract difficulty to trade$187.9M over three years

Wikipedia · Wikidata

Why it is here
  • Embiid has $187.9 million guaranteed over 3 years, with a player option for 2028-29, according to the contract breakdown. — (voice only)

History
  • In 2016, after two surgeries on his right foot and missing his first two NBA seasons, Embiid finally made his regular-season debut. He scored 20 points, and the crowd cheered even his missed shots. — (voice only)

Compare the top three ↓

2Kristaps Porzingis

No. 2 — Kristaps Porzingis. On the lists of 8 of 11 AIs; median place there: 6. His health creates trade risk, but only $3M of next season’s $20M is guaranteed.

Kristaps Porziņģis 2022
All-Pro Reels · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Brooklyn Nets vs NY Knicks 2018-10-03 td 089 - Pregame
Tdorante10 · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Did you know

  • Porziņģis won the NBA All-Star Skills Challenge in 2017, beating a field that included guards and big men. — (voice only)

What it is
A $20M salary next season, with only $3M guaranteed.
Its edge
The smallest guaranteed amount makes the contract easier to move than the other two.
Who should know
Useful to readers weighing health uncertainty against the cost of a contract.
  • Contract difficulty to trade$3M of $20M guaranteed

Wikipedia · Wikidata

Why it is here
  • Porziņģis is due $20,000,000 in 2026-27, but only $3,000,000 is guaranteed under the contract terms reported for that season. — (voice only)

  • After joining Golden State, he appeared in 15 games and missed 16, a sharp availability concern for a player whose salary is being considered in trade matching. — (voice only)

History
  • In 2019, after a meeting left Knicks officials thinking he wanted out, Porzingis was traded to Dallas. The move sent him to play alongside rookie Luka Dončić. — (voice only)

Keep in mind
  • As of October 2026, the Warriors said he remained out indefinitely with a health issue and gave no return date. That makes availability the central uncertainty.

What people say
  • “I’m just going to take a step back, look at the whole picture and then see what’s the best direction for me.” — Kristaps Porziņģis

ChatGPT, Qwen put it first. What they saw in it
  • ChatGPT: The contract looks like $20 million of trouble today, but only $3 million of its reported $20 million second-season salary is guaranteed.

  • Qwen: Out indefinitely with POTS, his $20M cap hit scares partners despite only $3M guaranteed in 2027-28.

Compare the top three ↓

3Paul George

No. 3 — Paul George. On the lists of 6 of 11 AIs; median place there: 3. Large salaries, missed games and a costly player option make his contract hard to move.

Pacers Paul George (cropped)
All-Pro Reels · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Did you know

  • In Game 5 of the 2014 Eastern Conference finals, George scored 21 points in the fourth quarter against Miami—more than any player scored in the whole game’s other quarters. — (voice only)

What it is
Two large salary seasons, including a player option at 37.
Its edge
Its two-season salary is lower than Embiid’s stated three-year bill.
Who should know
Useful to readers comparing trade difficulty across salary and availability concerns.
  • Contract difficulty to trade$54.1M + $56.6M player option

Wikipedia · Wikidata

Why it is here
  • George’s salary is $54.1 million in 2026-27 and $56.6 million in 2027-28, when he has a player option—two large seasons to match in a trade. — (voice only)

Keep in mind
  • The Brown trade brought George and draft picks to Boston, but the swap was debated: the NBA's analysis notes George is more than six years older and played fewer games over the past five years.

Meta put it first. What they saw in it
  • Meta: $54.1M + $56.6M player option at 36, Bleacher Report's No.1 most overpaid in 2026-27 at 32.8% of cap

Video: Paul George On Why NOBODY Talks Trash To Kawhi Leonard · The Old Man and The Three

Compare the top three ↓

The top three side by side

Joel EmbiidKristaps PorzingisPaul George
In the AIs' lists8 / 118 / 116 / 11
Contract difficulty to trade$187.9M over three years$3M of $20M guaranteed$54.1M + $56.6M player option
Put first byClaude, MiMo, DeepSeekChatGPT, QwenMeta

Places with the same number of AIs are ordered by their average place in the AIs' own lists.

03Worth knowing

What the AIs noticed while building the list.

Porzingis's deal is the reverse of Embiid's. Only $3M of his 2027-28 salary is guaranteed, so a buyer could waive him next summer. The obstacle is his health, not the math.

Noticed by:
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, DeepSeek, Kimi, Qwen. Did not include: Gemini, Nova, MiMo, StepFun, Wenxin.
Source ↗

The 2026-27 aprons are $209.015M and $221.686M. A team over the first can take back at most 100% of the salary it sends out, and a team over the second also cannot combine contracts.

Noticed by:
Included it: Claude, ChatGPT, MiMo, StepFun, DeepSeek, Kimi. Did not include: Meta, Gemini, Nova, Wenxin, Qwen.
Source ↗

Worst-contract lists measure bad value, not how hard a deal is to trade, and they disagree. CBS ranks Embiid No. 1, while SI ranks Poeltl No. 1 and B/R leaves Sabonis out.

Noticed by:
Included it: Claude, StepFun, Kimi. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Qwen.
Source ↗

The bad contracts that did move this summer cost something. Morant went for Jerami Grant's money, and Philadelphia added picks to move Paul George for Jaylen Brown.

Noticed by:
Included it: MiMo, StepFun, Kimi. Did not include: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Qwen.
Source ↗

Trade bonuses add friction: Donovan Mitchell has a 15% bonus and Trae Young 7.5%.

Noticed by:
Included it: Claude. Did not include: ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, StepFun, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Kimi, Qwen.
Source ↗

04Questions people ask

Can the Warriors trade Porzingis?

Yes. He can be traded now, earns $20M this season and has only $3M of 2027-28 guaranteed. But Golden State is over the first apron, so it can't take back more salary than it sends, and he is out indefinitely.

Source ↗
How much of Porzingis' contract is guaranteed?

Most reports say $20M for 2026-27 plus $3M of the $20M 2027-28 salary. Heavy reported $2M, and Spotrac shows $6M guaranteed in total because it counts the deal differently.

Source ↗
Who has the worst contract in the NBA in 2026?

Joel Embiid is No. 1 on both CBS Sports and theScore: three years and $187.9M after 57 games in two seasons. SI ranks Jakob Poeltl first instead.

What are the NBA apron limits for 2026-27?

The cap is $164.961M, the first apron $209.015M and the second apron $221.686M.

05How we counted

In plain words, no formulas.

1The question

Top 10 Hardest NBA Contracts to Trade Right Now

2Why this topic

It puts money owed, real availability and the apron rules that block trades in one list, so the reader sees why the Porzingis talks are hard and which other teams have the same problem.

3Where it applies

NBA, 2026-27 season, contracts on active rosters

4What we looked at

  • Guaranteed money still owed, this season and later
  • The player's current availability: games played over the last two seasons and his official status today
  • How hard salary matching is under the first and second apron rules for the teams most likely to trade
  • Years left on the contract, including player options
  • Spotrac — Guaranteed salary, contract years, options and cap hits
  • Basketball-Reference — Games played by season and career production
  • NBA.com official injury report — Each player's official status before every game
  • Larry Coon's NBA Salary Cap FAQ — The CBA rules on trade salary matching and the aprons

5Who ranked

The leading AIs, each building its own list of ten independently and naming a source for every place: Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nova, MiMo, StepFun, DeepSeek, Wenxin, Kimi, Qwen.

6How the places were set

The same entry written differently by different AIs was counted as one. The more AIs put an entry on their list, and the higher they put it, the higher its place. "AI agreement" shows how many of the AIs had it on their own list. Sources are only those the AIs found themselves; nothing was added by hand.

06Each AI's own list

🇺🇸 Claude10 places · 4 notes

The same question, answered by Claude alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Joel Embiid

    He has played 76 of a possible 246 games over three seasons, and $187.9M over three years is the biggest bill on any 'worst contract' list.

  2. 2
    Trae Young

    He played 15 games last season and is owed about $212.8M over four years.

  3. 3
    Paul George (Celtics)

    He has missed 86 games over two seasons, and Boston took on $110.7M over two years plus a player option at age 37.

    Source ↗
  4. 4
    Anthony Davis (Wizards)

    He was acquired at the February 2026 deadline but never played a game for Washington last season, then scored 34 points in his Wizards debut on Oct 21.

  5. 5
    Ja Morant (Blazers)

    Only 79 games in three seasons, against $87.1M still owed over two years (The Score) or $197.2M over five (SportsGrid).

  6. 6
    Tyrese Haliburton

    He missed all of 2025-26 with a ruptured Achilles, and his five-year, $244.6M deal climbs to $55.6M in the final year.

  7. 7
    De'Aaron Fox

    He is healthy, but $221.7M over four years (31% of the cap) leaves San Antonio little room to extend its young stars.

  8. 8
    Domantas Sabonis (Kings)

    He missed most of last season with a knee injury, and the contract length differs by source: 2 years and $94.1M, or 4 years and $186M.

  9. 9
    Jakob Poeltl (Raptors)

    He has missed 93 games in three seasons and has four years and $103.6M left at age 31.

  10. 10
    Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)

    He is out indefinitely and might retire, yet the deal is among the easiest here to move: $20M this year, with only $3M of next year's $20M guaranteed.

    Source ↗

What Claude noticed

Porzingis is not one of the hardest NBA contracts to trade, despite the headlines. Only $3M of his $20M 2027-28 salary is guaranteed, so a buyer can waive him next summer.

Embiid has played 76 of 246 possible games over three seasons, which is why he tops most 'worst contract' lists even though he is the best player on them.

Trade-bonus clauses add friction: Mitchell has a 15% bonus and Young 7.5%, per Bleacher Report.

The 2026-27 aprons are $209.015M and $221.686M. A team over the first apron cannot take back more salary than it sends out, and a team over the second also cannot combine contracts.

🇺🇸 ChatGPT10 places · 2 notes

The same question, answered by ChatGPT alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Kristaps Porzingis, Golden State Warriors, 2026

    The contract looks like $20 million of trouble today, but only $3 million of its reported $20 million second-season salary is guaranteed.

    Source ↗
  2. 2
    Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers, 2026

    An MVP-level ceiling sits beside a contract with $120.848 million guaranteed across the seasons displayed in the 2026–27 salary table.

    Source ↗
  3. 3
    Zion Williamson, New Orleans Pelicans, 2026

    Two listed seasons carry $87.053 million in guaranteed money, making his availability history relevant to a very large commitment.

    Source ↗
  4. 4
    Anthony Davis, Washington Wizards, 2026

    A $58.457 million salary is difficult to match even before a buyer prices in any availability concerns.

    Source ↗
  5. 5
    Bradley Beal, Phoenix Suns, 2026

    A reported $77.532 million guarantee across the displayed contract years creates a long-term obligation that can be harder to move than a single-season salary.

    Source ↗
  6. 6
    Jaren Jackson Jr., Utah Jazz, 2026

    The salary table lists $151.5 million guaranteed over three seasons, a substantial commitment for a player whose value depends on the buyer's roster and defensive needs.

    Source ↗
  7. 7
    LaMelo Ball, Minnesota Timberwolves, 2026

    A reported $130.747 million guarantee puts the transaction in a different category from a short-term injury-risk contract.

    Source ↗
  8. 8
    Kyrie Irving, Dallas Mavericks, 2026

    A nearly $39.5 million salary is a substantial matching problem, but a shorter guaranteed commitment can be more manageable than a four-year burden.

    Source ↗
  9. 9
    Rudy Gobert, Minnesota Timberwolves, 2026

    A $36.5 million salary can make a trade awkward for teams near the aprons even when the player's role is straightforward.

    Source ↗
  10. 10
    Wendell Carter Jr., Orlando Magic, 2026

    The displayed $37.652 million guarantee is large enough to affect matching, but the contract's shorter horizon makes it less concerning than several higher-ranked cases.

    Source ↗

What ChatGPT noticed

Porzingis is a special case: the Warriors reportedly explored trade routes on October 21, but his mostly non-guaranteed second season could be an asset for a team trying to clear future salary rather than a pure liability.

The 2026–27 first apron is $209.015 million and the second apron is $221.686 million. The same player can be much harder to trade for a team above an apron than for one with room to maneuver.

🇺🇸 Meta10 places · 4 notes

The same question, answered by Meta alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Paul George

    $54.1M + $56.6M player option at 36, Bleacher Report's No.1 most overpaid in 2026-27 at 32.8% of cap

    Source ↗
  2. 2
    Joel Embiid

    $58M extension year 1 of 3yr $193M starts now, only 58 games total past two seasons, 49% career games missed

    Source ↗
  3. 3
    Jimmy Butler

    $56.8M expiring at 37 with season-ending ACL, Warriors $93M over cap path to second apron

  4. 4
    Zach LaVine

    $48.9M player option at 31, Kings $93.3M over cap, 5 years removed from last All-Star

    Source ↗
  5. 5
    Kristaps Porzingis

    $20M this year only $3M guaranteed next July 7, out indefinitely POTS, 32 games last season and retirement talk

    Source ↗
  6. 6
    Kawhi Leonard

    $50.3M final year + $115M 2yr extension, model projects 59.5 games played and $613K dead money per absence

    Source ↗
  7. 7
    Jayson Tatum

    $58.4M supermax fully guaranteed after Achilles tear May 12 2025, 5yr $314M largest in history at signing

    Source ↗
  8. 8
    Jaylen Brown

    $57M in 2026-27 year 3 of 5yr $285M supermax, now 76ers $183M guaranteed left complicates any flip

    Source ↗
  9. 9
    Karl-Anthony Towns

    $57M + $61M player option, Knicks paused extension talks after title, 4yr $220M deal

  10. 10
    Damian Lillard

    $13.4M new deal + $22.5M stretched dead cap from Bucks for 4 years, 3yr $42M with no-trade clause at 36

    Source ↗

What Meta noticed

Porzingis's $40M deal looks like an expiring because only $3M of 2027-28 is guaranteed until July 7, but POTS indefinite absence makes even that hard to move

Warriors are over first apron so they cannot take back more salary than they send out, forcing them to attach a second player to any Porzingis deal for a $26.5M center like Myles Turner

Paul George at 36 earning $54.1M plus $56.6M option is ranked by neutral fans and Bleacher Report as worse than Bradley Beal's old no-trade clause deal

Embiid has missed 474 of 964 possible games, essentially a coin flip 49%, yet extension worth $193M starts in 2026-27 at $58M

🇺🇸 Gemini10 places · 2 notes

The same question, answered by Gemini alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Bradley Beal

    Holding the league's only active full no-trade clause alongside over $110 million owed, he cannot be traded anywhere without his personal veto signature.

  2. 2
    Joel Embiid

    A supermax extension scaling past $60 million annually collides with chronic knee maintenance, requiring trading partners to wager entire payrolls on an unpredictable postseason hinge.

  3. 3
    Paul George

    Committed through his age-37 season at over $54 million per year, his four-year pact leaves virtually zero margin for any acquiring team operating near luxury tax boundaries.

  4. 4
    Zach LaVine

    Having undergone season-ending foot surgery while owed $46 million annually, front offices have tested the market for two years with zero suitors willing to take him on without draft assets attached.

  5. 5
    Zion Williamson

    Though conditioning de-escalators protect against guaranteed payouts, his $40 million base cap figure remains an immovable financial anchor for apron-restricted contenders.

  6. 6
    Kristaps Porzingis (2026)

    Sidelined indefinitely due to POTS and considering his playing future, his $20 million deal functions primarily as non-court ballast that requires sweetener picks to re-route.

  7. 7
    Jerami Grant

    A classic mid-tier cap barrier, his $30 million annual payroll hit through 2027-28 blocks rebuilding teams from clearing cap space without high-end draft incentives.

  8. 8
    Kawhi Leonard

    Signed to a three-year, $153 million extension with chronic inflammation protocols, his salary locks up 35% of the Clippers' payroll during strict apron enforcement.

  9. 9
    Karl-Anthony Towns

    A four-year, $220 million supermax extension creates severe second-apron friction, preventing contenders from aggregating matching salaries in any standard package.

  10. 10
    Ben Simmons

    Years of recurrent lumbar nerve irritation have reduced his trade presence to pure expiring salary relief, dependent entirely on buyout negotiations rather than basketball utility.

What Gemini noticed

Under the NBA's updated collective bargaining agreement, crossing the second apron ($189M+ threshold) completely freezes trade flexibility by barring teams from aggregating outgoing player salaries, using trade exceptions, or including cash considerations.

Kristaps Porzingis' 2026 extension with the Warriors features a steep drop from a $20M guaranteed salary in 2026-27 down to just $3M guaranteed in 2027-28, giving it the balance sheet profile of a pseudo-expiring salary dump.

🇨🇳 MiMo10 places · 3 notes

The same question, answered by MiMo alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Joel Embiid (76ers)

    The 187M extension signed in 2024 only starts now — for a player averaging 40.8 games a season over 12 years.

    Source ↗
  2. 2
    Paul George (Celtics)

    Boston didn't trade for Paul George — he was the toll for getting off Jaylen Brown's contract, and his 56.6M option is already picked up.

    Source ↗
  3. 3
    AnthonyDavis (Wizards)

    31 of 85 possible games as a Maverick — and Washington now owes him58.5𝑀𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑑58.5Mthisseasonand62.8M if he opts in.

    Source ↗
  4. 4
    JimmyButler (Warriors)

    Year two of a deal reported at121𝑀(𝑜𝑟121M(or111M on Spotrac) begins with him still out from a January knee injury.

    Source ↗
  5. 5
    LaMeloBall (Timberwolves)

    Three years and 130.7M left — and 72 games last season was the healthiest he has been since 2021-22.

    Source ↗
  6. 6
    Ja Morant (Trail Blazers)

    59 games in the two seasons before last, then Memphis swapped him for Jerami Grant's expiring money.

    Source ↗
  7. 7
    Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)

    20M for a player 'seriously contemplating his future in basketball' — yet the structure means Golden State still has to attach picks to move him.

    Source ↗
  8. 8
    ZionWilliamson (Pelicans)

    His 61st game of 2025-26 flipped 42.2M from conditional to fully guaranteed.

    Source ↗
  9. 9
    TraeYoung (Wizards)

    Atlanta canvassed the league and the best return was CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert — and the new 212.8M deal is already called one of the summer's worst.

    Source ↗
  10. 10
    KawhiLeonard (Raptors)

    Actually moving him took a two-month freeze, an NBA probe — and cost the Clippers five first-round picks and Ballmer 30M.

    Source ↗

What MiMo noticed

GoldenState's problem is structural, not just medical: as a first-apron team the Warriors cannot take back an extra dollar in any trade, so Porzingis' 20M slot is the only matching money they can legally send — and he is out indefinitely.

Embiid's extension quietly shrank from a 193M headline to187.1𝑀𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑦𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑔𝑜𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔,𝑏𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑠𝑓𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑𝑎𝑡35187.1Mwithoutanyonerenegotiating,becauseitisfixedat35164.961M).

Zion'scontract contains its own availability meter: playing game 61 of 2025-26 mechanically turned 42.2M of conditional money into a full guarantee.

🇨🇳 StepFun10 places · 1 notes

The same question, answered by StepFun alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors, 2026-27)

    $20M fully guaranteed, officially 'Out — Not With Team' until at least December, on a team hard-capped at the second apron that can only take back 100 cents of every dollar it sends out.

    Source ↗
  2. 2
    Joel Embiid (76ers, 2026-27)

    The most guaranteed money in the league attached to a body that has missed roughly half its games: $187.9M owed, 490 games played in 12 seasons.

    Source ↗
  3. 3
    Anthony Davis (Wizards, 2026-27)

    $58.5M for a 33-year-old who played 20 games last season and is asking for a four-year, $275M extension — the highest per-season salary on this list with the least recent proof.

    Source ↗
  4. 4
    Zion Williamson (Pelicans, 2026-27)

    $87M guaranteed across two seasons for a player who has missed about 52% of his career games — and whose contract only got safer for him because he kept hitting games-played triggers.

  5. 5
    Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz, 2026-27)

    $49M a year for four more years handed to a big man who has missed about 31% of his career games and played just 48 games last season.

  6. 6
    Trae Young (Wizards, 2026-27)

    Four years and $212.8M committed to a guard who averaged 17.9 points last season — roughly an $18M-a-year gap between the contract and his modeled market value.

  7. 7
    De'Aaron Fox (Spurs, 2026-27)

    A four-year maximum extension — $221.7M, $229M or $223.1M depending on who is counting — signed by a team that just committed $252M to Wembanyama.

    Source ↗
  8. 8
    Pascal Siakam (Pacers, 2026-27)

    $48.9M this year and more than $100M after it for a forward whose co-star is out for the season with a torn Achilles — the deal only made sense next to Haliburton.

  9. 9
    Myles Turner (Bucks, 2026-27)

    $108.9M fully guaranteed over four years for a center coming off an 11.9-point season — the most guaranteed money on this list with the least production attached to it.

  10. 10
    Paul George (Celtics, 2026-27)

    Boston just absorbed $54.1M plus a $56.6M player option for a player whose last two seasons were 41 games and a March 25 season debut — and it took Jaylen Brown and four picks to move the contract at all.

    Source ↗

What StepFun noticed

Porzingis' deal is built on mirrored July 7 guarantee dates: the $20M for 2026-27 became fully guaranteed on July 7, 2026, while 2027-28 is a $20M player option with just $3M guaranteed — a structure that makes him cheap to dump next summer but expensive to move today.

🇨🇳 DeepSeek10 places · 2 notes

The same question, answered by DeepSeek alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Joel Embiid (76ers, 2026-27)

    $187.9M fully guaranteed, and he has played 57 of 164 games over the last two seasons.

  2. 2
    Trae Young (Wizards, 2026-27)

    Four years and $212.8M for a guard who played 15 games last season — after being salary-dumped months earlier.

  3. 3
    De'Aaron Fox (Spurs, 2026-27)

    $221.7M over four years for a third guard — San Antonio would have to attach draft capital to move him.

  4. 4
    Ja Morant (Trail Blazers, 2026-27)

    Two years and $87.1M is shorter — but 79 games in three seasons is the number that scares teams.

  5. 5
    Domantas Sabonis (Kings, 2026-27)

    $94.1M over two years for a center who ranked 73rd of 76 at the rim and played 19 games last season.

  6. 6
    Jakob Poeltl (Raptors, 2026-27)

    $103.6M over four years for a 30-something 7-footer with a back issue and 93 games missed in three years.

  7. 7
    Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors, 2026-27)

    $20M expiring and only $3M guaranteed next season — the contract is easy; the health is not.

    Source ↗
  8. 8
    Jalen Green (Suns, 2026-27)

    $72.2M over two years for inefficient volume scoring — not toxic, just negative.

  9. 9
    Patrick Williams (Bulls, 2026-27)

    $54M with a player option for a player who lost his starting job — the length is the problem.

  10. 10
    Gary Trent Jr. (Bucks, 2026-27)

    $64M for a one-way guard coming off his worst season — the deal that shouldn't exist.

What DeepSeek noticed

Porzingis's deal is the inverse: $20M expiring and only $3M guaranteed next season, so the trade barrier is medical, not mathematical.

Over the first apron ($209.015M), teams match within 110%; over the second ($221.686M), they cannot aggregate salaries — which is why a $20M expiring deal is easier to route than Embiid's $62.6M.

🇨🇳 Kimi10 places · 3 notes

The same question, answered by Kimi alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers, 2026)

    36% of the salary cap through 2028-29 for a player available 31% of the time — 76 of 246 possible games over the last three seasons.

    Source ↗
  2. 2
    Trae Young (Washington Wizards, 2026)

    Paid $212.8M over four years — the 11th-most money owed in the league — six weeks after his nonexistent trade market let Washington acquire him for CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert.

    Source ↗
  3. 3
    Paul George (Boston Celtics, 2026)

    Boston flipped Jaylen Brown and still ended up with the harder contract to move — 2 years, $110.7M for a 36-year-old who has missed 86 games over the last two seasons.

    Source ↗
  4. 4
    Anthony Davis (Washington Wizards, 2026)

    Two teams in 12 months traded for him while he was hurt — $58.5M this season plus a $62.8M player option for a 33-year-old who played 20 total games in 2025-26.

    Source ↗
  5. 5
    Domantas Sabonis (Sacramento Kings, 2026)

    2 years, $94.1M ($47M per year, 27.8% of cap) for a big man who missed most of last season with a knee injury — and can't be flipped for value the way Davis can.

  6. 6
    Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors, 2026)

    $97.5M over three years for a guard CBS calls 'one of the poster boys for overpaid guards' — on a Toronto team sitting just $2.3M under a hard cap.

    Source ↗
  7. 7
    Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors, 2026)

    4 years, $103.6M at ~$28M per year for a center who missed 93 games over three seasons and is losing his closing job to a rookie on a top-heavy payroll.

  8. 8
    Ja Morant (Portland Trail Blazers, 2026)

    Memphis dumped a 27-year-old two-time All-Star for Jerami Grant and Kris Murray — a salary dump on 2 years, $87.1M, with 79 games played in three seasons.

  9. 9
    Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans, 2026)

    A contract designed to be untradeable: $87M over two years with game-count and weigh-in triggers, and the league still wouldn't touch him this summer.

    Source ↗
  10. 10
    Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors, 2026)

    The rare case where the contract is the easy part — $20M now, a $3M guarantee later — but the player attached to it is out indefinitely and may retire, so the only return is someone else's bad money.

    Source ↗

What Kimi noticed

The apron walls do the damage: with the first apron at $209.0M, a team like Golden State can only take back 100 cents on the dollar, so Porzingis' $20M brings back at most $20M — and over the second apron ($221.7M) a team cannot even combine two salaries to match a bigger one.

The Warriors pre-engineered Porzingis' exit: by signing him to a flat $20M/$20M extension with only $3M guaranteed in year two, they made him trade-eligible immediately instead of waiting until mid-December — the contract was built to be moved the moment his health failed.

Washington is the league's warehouse of hard-to-trade money: it committed ~$275M to Trae Young and Anthony Davis this summer after both players' 2025-26 seasons ended in the medical room — Davis was traded for while injured twice in 12 months.

🇨🇳 Qwen10 places

The same question, answered by Qwen alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.

  1. 1
    Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors, 2026-27)

    Out indefinitely with POTS, his $20M cap hit scares partners despite only $3M guaranteed in 2027-28.

    Source ↗
  2. 2
    Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers, 2026-27)

    A $55M supermax anchor with chronic knee issues, trapped in second-apron hell.

    Source ↗
  3. 3
    Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans, 2026-27)

    Missed his entire 2021-22 season and over half his possible career games while on a max deal.

    Source ↗
  4. 4
    Bradley Beal (Los Angeles Clippers, 2026-27)

    A $50M+ cap hit with a no-trade clause history and declining availability.

    Source ↗
  5. 5
    Ben Simmons (Sacramento Kings, 2026-27)

    Out for the 2026-27 season with an Achilles injury while carrying a $39M+ cap hit.

    Source ↗
  6. 6
    Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls, 2026-27)

    A $43M cap hit with recurring foot and knee injuries, making salary matching a nightmare for rebuilders.

    Source ↗
  7. 7
    Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls, 2026-27)

    Has not played a full season in years due to chronic knee issues, yet still carries a $21M cap hit.

  8. 8
    Robert Williams III (Portland Trail Blazers, 2026-27)

    Chronic knee issues have limited him to just 55 games over the last two seasons despite a manageable $12M cap hit.

    Source ↗
  9. 9
    Kyle Kuzma (Washington Wizards, 2026-27)

    Declining efficiency on a $23M deal makes him a tough sell for playoff teams without sweeteners.

    Source ↗
  10. 10
    Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers, 2026-27)

    Recurring hamstring and foot injuries at age 34 limit his trade market despite a $22M cap hit.

    Source ↗