Since 2000, 21 blocked field goals tied or won games in the final 10 seconds, about 4% of 518 tries. In 17 of them a lineman pushed up the middle; only 3 were defensive backs off the edge.
Back to the trend of the day: A late kick block and a costly mistake decide a wild overtime football game
Poly Rating · from the trend of the day
NFL Blocked Field Goals: 10 Late Blocks That Flipped Games
Denver had a 92% chance to win before Leo Chenal got a hand on a 35-yard kick, from a range where only 4 of 229 tries had been blocked since 2022.
- No. 1: Leo Chenal block, Chiefs vs. Broncos 2024
- 10 places
01Final list
The leading AIs built their own top-ten lists independently. Above is one combined result that is easy to check: every place has a reason, the AIs that included it and, where the AIs gave one, a source.
Order: from most to least AI agreement.
A bright badge means this AI put the entry on its list. A dim badge means it did not.
- 1
Leo Chenal block, Chiefs vs. Broncos 2024
Denver was at 92% before a 35-yard kick on the final play and lost 16-14. This was the biggest measured swing on the list, though one outlet reports the figure.
Included it: Claude, Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 3 · Gemini: 1
What each AI noted 2
- Claudeplace 3
Next Gen Stats gave Denver a 92% win probability before the kick, and only 4 of 229 comparable attempts since 2022 had been blocked.
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 1
A walk-off block on a 35-yard chip shot with zero seconds left turned a 96.2% Denver win probability into an instant 100% Kansas City victory.
2 AIs put it here - 2
Jordan Davis walk-off block, Eagles vs. Rams 2025
A 336-lb tackle blocked a 44-yard try with 3 seconds left and ran 61 yards to win 33-26. Sources differ on whether the game was tied before the kick.
Included it: Claude, Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 1 · Gemini: 3
What each AI noted 2
- Claudeplace 1
The Rams lined up to win it with 3 seconds left, and a 336-pound tackle blocked the kick and ran it back 61 yards for the game-ending touchdown.
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 3
A 336-pound defensive tackle blocked a regulation walk-off 44-yard kick and rumbled 61 yards to win 33-26 instead of heading into overtime.
2 AIs put it here - 3
Greg Rousseau OT block, Bills vs. Rams 2026
The Rams needed one 48-yard kick to win in OT. After the block Buffalo won 37-34, and McVay called his own third-down play before the kick conservative.
Included it: Claude, Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 2 · Gemini: 4
What each AI noted 2
- Claudeplace 2
The Rams were one made 48-yard kick from a win in overtime, and instead the Bills won on a 45-yarder 1:55 from the end after a block by Greg Rousseau, who got a piece of the kick.
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 4
Sean McVay played for a 48-yard sudden-death field goal in overtime, only for Rousseau's wing burst to save Buffalo and set up a 37-34 Bills win.
2 AIs put it here - 4
Jason Pierre-Paul block, Giants vs. Cowboys 2011
Dan Bailey's 47-yard try with 6 seconds left had about a 70% chance to tie. JPP blocked it and the Giants held on to win 37-34.
Included it: Claude, Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 6 · Gemini: 7
What each AI noted 2
- Claudeplace 6
Pierre-Paul blocked a 47-yard try with 6 seconds left that would have tied it, one of three game-deciding blocks in consecutive December 2011 weeks.
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 7
Pierre-Paul tipped a 47-yard kick with one second left to preserve a 37-34 win after Dallas head coach Jason Garrett iced his own kicker.
2 AIs put it here - 5
Blocked 54-yarder, Bears vs. Raiders 2025
A blocked 54-yard try saved a 25-24 Bears win, the only one-point finish here. It was one of 16 blocks in the first four weeks of 2025.
Included it: Claude, Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 9 · Gemini: 9
What each AI noted 2
- Claudeplace 9
A blocked 54-yard attempt preserved a 25-24 Bears win. It is the only one-point finish on this list.
Source ↗ - Geminiplace 9
A perimeter rush with 42 seconds remaining denied Las Vegas a go-ahead 54-yard kick, protecting a precarious 25-24 Chicago lead.
2 AIs put it here - 6
Karl Brooks block, Packers vs. Bears 2024
A fingertip on a 46-yard try as time ran out sealed a 20-19 Packers win, Green Bay's record 11th straight over Chicago. The Bears claimed a penalty on their long snapper.
Included it: Claude. Did not include: Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 4
What each AI noted 1
- Claudeplace 4
The block ended in a record 11th straight Bears loss to Green Bay, and Chicago's coach asked the league to review it for a possible penalty.
Source ↗
1 AIs put it here - 7
Shelby Harris block, Browns vs. Packers 2025
Green Bay's 43-yard go-ahead try was blocked with about 27 seconds left. Cleveland then kicked a 55-yarder at the gun to win 13-10 and end an eight-game losing streak.
Included it: Claude. Did not include: Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 5
What each AI noted 1
- Claudeplace 5
The block came with 27 seconds left, and Cleveland then needed only 16 yards to kick a 55-yard winner as time ran out.
Source ↗
1 AIs put it here - 8
Brent Urban block and Will Hill return, Ravens vs. Browns 2015
Cleveland's 51-yard try with 3 seconds left was blocked and returned 64 yards for a walk-off TD. Only one AI cites it, and its probability figures were dropped as unconfirmed.
Included it: Gemini. Did not include: Claude.In their lists: Gemini: 2
What each AI noted 1
- Geminiplace 2
Cleveland needed a 51-yard field goal with three seconds left to win, but ended up surrendering a 64-yard walk-off touchdown as time expired.
1 AIs put it hereno source given - 9
Jordan Willis blocked punt, 49ers vs. Packers 2021 NFC Divisional
A 4th-quarter blocked punt, returned by Talanoa Hufanga, gave San Francisco its only TD in a 13-10 playoff win at Lambeau. One AI cites it, and its probability figures weren't kept.
Included it: Gemini. Did not include: Claude.In their lists: Gemini: 5
What each AI noted 1
- Geminiplace 5
With 4:41 left and Green Bay holding an offensive freeze in freezing Lambeau, a blocked punt returned 6 yards scored San Francisco's only touchdown to win 13-10.
1 AIs put it hereno source given - 10
Titans blocked-punt TD, Titans vs. Colts 2026
The NFL's first blocked-punt TD of 2026 gave Tennessee its first lead, in the 4th quarter, of a 26-20 win.
Included it: Claude. Did not include: Gemini.In their lists: Claude: 10
What each AI noted 1
- Claudeplace 10
The Titans' blocked-punt touchdown was the first in the NFL in 2026 and gave them their first lead in a 26-20 win.
Source ↗
1 AIs put it here
02Worth knowing
What the AIs noticed while building the list.
Blocked kicks surged in 2025: 16 in the first four weeks (second only to 2014's 19) and 31 through 11 weeks.
No per-play win probability from two models could be confirmed for any block. Only Denver's 92% before the kick (Next Gen Stats, via Chiefs Digest) holds up, so the order rests on stakes, whether the result flipped, and rarity.
In Buffalo, McVay blamed both the kicking unit and his own conservative third-down call before the block. Reports split the blame differently between the call, the kicker and the protection.
The Bills' win over the Rams was Buffalo's first overtime win of the Josh Allen era. The block came after a Cook fumble in overtime gave the Rams the ball back.
03Questions people ask
Does a field goal win in overtime?
Not on the first possession, because both teams get the ball. After that it does, as Tyler Bass's 45-yarder did to end Bills 37, Rams 34 on Oct 12, 2026.
Can you advance a blocked field goal?
Yes, a blocked kick is a live ball. Jordan Davis picked up his block and ran 61 yards for the game-ending TD in Eagles 33, Rams 26 (2025).
Source ↗How often are late NFL field goals blocked?
Rarely: about 4% of the 518 field-goal tries in the final 10 seconds since 2000, and 21 of those blocks tied or won the game.
Source ↗04How we counted
In plain words, no formulas.
1The question
Top 10 Late-Game and Overtime Blocked Kicks That Flipped NFL Games
2Why this topic
It ranks the blocks by checking two win probability models against each other and against film-based judgment on who caused each block, which no single play index does.
3Where it applies
NFL, blocked field goals and punts in the fourth quarter or overtime
4What we looked at
- Swing in win probability from the snap to the end of the play, checked on two separate models
- Whether the game result would have been different without the block
- Rarity: how often this kind of block happens at that point of a game
- Whether a coach's decision just before the kick (playing for a field goal early, a conservative third-down call) helped set up the block
- Cause of the block: a low kick or a rusher who got through untouched
- Next Gen Stats (NFL) — Win probability before the snap and player tracking such as top speed. Only two figures were found: Denver's 92% before the kick in 2024 and Jordan Davis's top speed.
- ESPN Analytics in-game win probability — Win probability on every play from ESPN's model. No checked per-play value was found for any of these blocks.
- Pro Football Reference / nflverse — Play-by-play win probability added. No checked per-play value was found for these blocks.
5Who ranked
The leading AIs, each building its own list of ten independently and naming a source for every place: Claude, Gemini.
6How the places were set
The same entry written differently by different AIs was counted as one. The more AIs put an entry on their list, and the higher they put it, the higher its place. "AI agreement" shows how many of the AIs had it on their own list. Sources are only those the AIs found themselves; nothing was added by hand.
05Each AI's own list
🇺🇸 Claude10 places · 4 notes
The same question, answered by Claude alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Eagles vs. Rams, Week 3 2025 (Jordan Davis walk-off block)
The Rams lined up to win it with 3 seconds left, and a 336-pound tackle blocked the kick and ran it back 61 yards for the game-ending touchdown.
Source ↗ - 2Bills vs. Rams, Week 5 2026 (Rousseau overtime block)
The Rams were one made 48-yard kick from a win in overtime, and instead the Bills won on a 45-yarder 1:55 from the end after a block by Greg Rousseau, who got a piece of the kick.
Source ↗ - 3Chiefs vs. Broncos, Week 10 2024 (Leo Chenal block)
Next Gen Stats gave Denver a 92% win probability before the kick, and only 4 of 229 comparable attempts since 2022 had been blocked.
Source ↗ - 4Packers vs. Bears, Week 11 2024 (Karl Brooks block)
The block ended in a record 11th straight Bears loss to Green Bay, and Chicago's coach asked the league to review it for a possible penalty.
Source ↗ - 5Browns vs. Packers, Week 3 2025 (Shelby Harris block)
The block came with 27 seconds left, and Cleveland then needed only 16 yards to kick a 55-yard winner as time ran out.
Source ↗ - 6Cowboys vs. Giants, Week 14 2011 (Jason Pierre-Paul block)
Pierre-Paul blocked a 47-yard try with 6 seconds left that would have tied it, one of three game-deciding blocks in consecutive December 2011 weeks.
Source ↗ - 7Raiders vs. Lions, Week 15 2011 (Ndamukong Suh block)
A 65-yard try by Janikowski, with a 28.8% chance of success, was deflected by Suh, so the block was less a surprise than the kick itself.
Source ↗ - 8Chiefs vs. Raiders, Week 16 2011 (Richard Seymour block)
Seymour blocked a 49-yarder with 5 seconds left, but Janikowski still won it in overtime with a 36-yarder, so the block only delayed the result.
Source ↗ - 9Bears vs. Raiders, Week 4 2025 (blocked 54-yarder)
A blocked 54-yard attempt preserved a 25-24 Bears win. It is the only one-point finish on this list.
Source ↗ - 10Titans vs. Colts, Week 6 2026 (blocked punt returned for a TD)
The Titans' blocked-punt touchdown was the first in the NFL in 2026 and gave them their first lead in a 26-20 win.
Source ↗
What Claude noticed
Since 2000, 21 blocked field goals tied or won games in the final 10 seconds, only about 4% of 518 attempts in that window. 17 of them came from linemen pushing up the middle and only 3 from defensive backs coming off the edge.
The Chiefs' 35-yard block against Denver came from an 92%-win-probability spot where only 4 of 229 comparable attempts had been blocked since 2022.
Blocked kicks are surging. There were 16 in the first four weeks of 2025, second only to 2014's 19, and 31 through 11 weeks, the most since 2014's 38.
Buffalo's win over the Rams was the Bills' first overtime win since they drafted Josh Allen. The block came after Cook's overtime fumble gave the ball back to the Rams.
🇺🇸 Gemini10 places · 1 notes
The same question, answered by Gemini alone. The final list above combines all the AIs.
- 1Leo Chenal Block on Wil Lutz (Chiefs vs. Broncos, 2024)
A walk-off block on a 35-yard chip shot with zero seconds left turned a 96.2% Denver win probability into an instant 100% Kansas City victory.
- 2Brent Urban & Will Hill Kick Six (Ravens vs. Browns, 2015)
Cleveland needed a 51-yard field goal with three seconds left to win, but ended up surrendering a 64-yard walk-off touchdown as time expired.
- 3Jordan Davis Walk-Off Return (Eagles vs. Rams, 2025)
A 336-pound defensive tackle blocked a regulation walk-off 44-yard kick and rumbled 61 yards to win 33-26 instead of heading into overtime.
- 4Greg Rousseau Overtime Block (Bills vs. Rams, 2026)
Sean McVay played for a 48-yard sudden-death field goal in overtime, only for Rousseau's wing burst to save Buffalo and set up a 37-34 Bills win.
- 5Jordan Willis & Talanoa Hufanga Blocked Punt (49ers vs. Packers, 2021 NFC Divisional)
With 4:41 left and Green Bay holding an offensive freeze in freezing Lambeau, a blocked punt returned 6 yards scored San Francisco's only touchdown to win 13-10.
- 6Justin Simmons & Will Parks Blocked Extra Point (Broncos vs. Saints, 2016)
After New Orleans tied the game with 1:22 left, Simmons leaped cleanly over the long snapper to block the PAT, returned by Parks for a winning 2-point defensive conversion.
- 7Jason Pierre-Paul Block on Dan Bailey (Giants vs. Cowboys, 2011)
Pierre-Paul tipped a 47-yard kick with one second left to preserve a 37-34 win after Dallas head coach Jason Garrett iced his own kicker.
- 8Jared Verse Block and 76-Yard Return (Rams vs. Falcons, 2025)
A fourth-quarter block returned 76 yards flipped Atlanta's chance to take a two-score lead into a lightning-strike Rams touchdown.
- 9Josh Blackwell 54-Yard FG Block (Bears vs. Raiders, 2025)
A perimeter rush with 42 seconds remaining denied Las Vegas a go-ahead 54-yard kick, protecting a precarious 25-24 Chicago lead.
- 10Richard Sherman & Kam Chancellor Block Return (Seahawks vs. 49ers, 2012)
Red Mutu tipped David Akers' 48-yard kick into Sherman's hands for a 90-yard touchdown that shattered San Francisco's comeback bid.
What Gemini noticed
Conservative coaching calls on 3rd down that settle for 40+ yard field goals increase the probability of an interior block by roughly 3.4x compared to attempts inside the 25-yard line.